Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
15 Mar 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mozambique
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.5 m (15 Mar 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 130 km/h 2.5 m 643 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 176 km/h 3.1 m 1256 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMozambique1,072,709 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Mar 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Mar 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Mar 2019 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 5 10 Mar 2019 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 6 11 Mar 2019 00:00 130 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 7 11 Mar 2019 12:00 148 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 8 12 Mar 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 12 Mar 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 13 Mar 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 13 Mar 2019 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 14 Mar 2019 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 14 Mar 2019 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mozambique
GREEN 14 15 Mar 2019 00:00 130 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

1256 mm

Up to 9.7 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMozambique, Zimbabwe10,027
+
Mozambique6,516 
Zimbabwe3,511 
250-500 mmZimbabwe, Mozambique1,726,849
+
Mozambique898,766 
Zimbabwe828,083 
100-250 mmZimbabwe, Mozambique7,946,452
+
Mozambique1,377,957 
Zimbabwe6,568,495 
50-100 mmTanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Zimbabwe3,687,115
+
Tanzania46 
Zambia230 
Mozambique1,025,695 
Zimbabwe2,661,144 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Mar 2019 12:00 171 20 thousand
- - - - Tanzania, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa
Blue 2 09 Mar 2019 00:00 313 60 thousand
- - - - Mozambique, Zimbabwe
Blue 3 09 Mar 2019 12:00 154 5 thousand
- - - - Mozambique, Madagascar, South Africa
Blue 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 172 20 thousand
- - - - Madagascar, South Africa
Blue 5 10 Mar 2019 12:00 261 -
- - - - - Madagascar, South Africa
Blue 6 11 Mar 2019 00:00 425 -
- - - - - Comoros, Madagascar
Blue 7 11 Mar 2019 12:00 429 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 12 Mar 2019 00:00 377 -
- - - - - Zambia
Blue 9 12 Mar 2019 12:00 499 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 13 Mar 2019 00:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 13 Mar 2019 12:00 399 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 14 Mar 2019 00:00 231 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 13 14 Mar 2019 12:00 283 830 thousand
- - - Mozambique, Zimbabwe
Blue 14 15 Mar 2019 00:00 643 9.7 million
- - Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Zimbabwe




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

2.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.5m in Chamba, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 15 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Chamba Mozambique  2.5
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Beira Mozambique  2.5
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Damiao Mozambique  2.5
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Manica Mozambique  2.1
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  2.0
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  2.0
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Ampara Mozambique  2.0
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  1.4
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Nhangau Mozambique  1.4
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  1.4
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Divinhe Mozambique  1.3
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Chiloane Mozambique  1.3
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.7
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Mazumba Mozambique  0.7
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Laisse Mozambique  0.7
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.7
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Jo Mozambique  0.7
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.7
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Tama Mozambique  0.6
15 Mar 2019 05:00 Natalia Mozambique  0.4
15 Mar 2019 05:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.3
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.3
15 Mar 2019 04:45 Catine Mozambique  0.3
15 Mar 2019 00:15 Afonso Mozambique  0.2
15 Mar 2019 00:15 Asneira Mozambique  0.2
15 Mar 2019 03:45 Caulino Mozambique  0.2
15 Mar 2019 03:45 Mariano Mozambique  0.2
16 Mar 2019 19:00 Colchester South Africa  0.2
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
15 Mar 2019 09:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
15 Mar 2019 14:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
15 Mar 2019 03:15 Castigo Mozambique  0.2
15 Mar 2019 03:45 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.2
15 Mar 2019 15:45 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
15 Mar 2019 15:45 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
15 Mar 2019 15:45 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
15 Mar 2019 15:45 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
15 Mar 2019 15:45 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
17 Mar 2019 19:45 Richmond South Africa  0.1
17 Mar 2019 19:45 Boesmansriviermond South Africa  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Memba Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Muanua Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Ecota Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Formone Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Capelelene Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Nhiendgi Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Nangata Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Chepa Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 05:30 Vila Luisa Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 05:30 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 05:30 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:30 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:00 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 16:00 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 16:00 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 16:00 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
17 Mar 2019 08:00 Kasouga South Africa  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:30 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 00:30 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:30 Chichocane Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:30 China Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:30 Mahoa Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 02:30 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Mvuni Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Tanga Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Kitambula Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Petukiza Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:30 Bomalandani Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:30 Carramali Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 07:15 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 07:15 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 07:15 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:45 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:45 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:45 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:45 Baly Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 06:15 Nantapa Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 06:15 Muaco Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 06:15 Quinga Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 06:15 Metula Mozambique  0.1
16 Mar 2019 01:15 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
16 Mar 2019 01:15 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 16:00 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 00:45 Uetela Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:45 Andemba Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:45 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:45 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 00:00 Fabiao Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:15 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 16:15 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
17 Mar 2019 17:00 Catembe Mozambique  0.1
17 Mar 2019 17:00 Joannisse Mozambique  0.1
17 Mar 2019 17:00 Maziba Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 02:30 Andranopasy Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 02:30 Tsiboka Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 02:30 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 02:30 Ankoba Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2019 01:00 Port Alfred South Africa  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:15 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:45 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:15 Moravano Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 01:00 Bambe Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 01:00 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 01:00 Afo Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:30 Barra Mozambique  0.1
17 Mar 2019 07:30 Port Shepstone South Africa  0.1
17 Mar 2019 07:30 Glanfield South Africa  0.1
17 Mar 2019 07:30 Mtwalume South Africa  0.1
17 Mar 2019 07:30 Sezela South Africa  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:45 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Ali Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Injaca Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Calajulo Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Lumbo Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Mosengeri Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Mocambique Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:15 Kijamboni Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:15 Vanga Kenya  0.1
15 Mar 2019 04:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 04:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 04:00 Onara Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 04:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 04:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:45 Nampuita Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Salale Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 17:00 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
18 Mar 2019 00:00 Aiai Mozambique  0.1
18 Mar 2019 00:00 Cimbene Mozambique  0.1
17 Mar 2019 15:45 Maputo Mozambique  0.1
17 Mar 2019 08:00 Park Rynie South Africa  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:45 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:45 Pebane Mozambique  0.1
17 Mar 2019 23:00 Selection Beach South Africa  0.1
17 Mar 2019 23:00 La Mercy South Africa  0.1
17 Mar 2019 23:00 Fraser South Africa  0.1
17 Mar 2019 23:00 Tinley Manor South Africa  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 03:15 Amado Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 18:45 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 16:15 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 16:15 Kolekole Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 16:15 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 16:15 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 16:15 Kiriwani Tanzania  0.1
16 Mar 2019 19:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 13:45 Buuni Village Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:00 Kilifi Kenya  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:00 Takaungu Kenya  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:30 Soalala Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 01:45 Macashale Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 01:45 Macanzele Mozambique  0.1
17 Mar 2019 15:30 Bela Vista Mozambique  0.1
17 Mar 2019 15:30 Machavene Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:30 Moebase Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:30 Soahazo Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:00 Bopwe Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:00 Konde Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:00 Kijichame Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:00 Dutani Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:00 Vumba Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:00 Chokaningayo Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 15:00 Kiuyu Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:45 Namuali Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:15 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
15 Mar 2019 14:45 Terrene Mozambique  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:00 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Moliha Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Cani Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Sada Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Dzoumogne Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Chingoni Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Dapani Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Bandele Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Dembeni Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Longoni Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Mamoudzou Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 10:00 Dzaoudzi Mayotte  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:45 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
15 Mar 2019 12:45 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1