Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-19
Off-shore
18 Mar 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 Mar 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 257 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.2 m 257 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Mar 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Mar 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Mar 2019 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 16 Mar 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Mar 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 17 Mar 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Mar 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Mar 2019 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Mar 2019 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPhilippines1,149,060 
50-100 mmPhilippines, Malaysia, Indonesia12,810,191
+
Philippines12,570,407 
Other countries268 
Malaysia16,789 
Indonesia222,727 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Mar 2019 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Mar 2019 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Mar 2019 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 16 Mar 2019 00:00 277 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Mar 2019 12:00 216 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 17 Mar 2019 00:00 279 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Mar 2019 12:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Mar 2019 00:00 528 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Mar 2019 12:00 198 3 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Other countries, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Calaya, Philippines. This height is estimated for 16 Mar 2019 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Calaya Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Barcelona Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Valencia Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Pulupandan Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Pontevedra Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Sum-ag Philippines  0.2
20 Mar 2019 12:00 Kuala Balingian Malaysia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 12:00 Kuala Tatau Malaysia  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Jaro Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Avila Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Bacolod Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Talisay Philippines  0.2
20 Mar 2019 12:00 Bintulu Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Silay Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 16:30 Saravia Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Talisay Philippines  0.1
15 Mar 2019 07:15 Nunukan Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2019 07:15 Mentadak Malaysia  0.1
15 Mar 2019 07:15 Kpg Sungai Pendak Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 16:45 Anilao Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 16:45 Banate Philippines  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:30 Djoeata Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2019 11:30 Lingkas Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2019 09:45 Tarakan Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2019 09:45 Peningki Indonesia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 09:15 Kankan Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 09:15 Kampong Muhong Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 09:15 Kampong Kalong Darat Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 09:15 Kumbatang Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 09:15 Langkon Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 09:15 Kampong Radus Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 09:15 Tandek Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 09:15 Taritapan Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 09:15 Kpg Mempakad Malaysia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 15:00 Narandong Malaysia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 15:00 Taburan Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 10:15 Kampong Kolapis Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 10:15 Kampong Samawang Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 10:15 Kampong Dandulit Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 16:45 Barotac Viejo Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 16:45 Culasi Philippines  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:00 Pekan Muara Brunei Darussalam  0.1
15 Mar 2019 08:00 Sundar Bazaar Malaysia  0.1