Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 177 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (30 Apr 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 177 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 177 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 214 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 203 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 190 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Apr 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Apr 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 27 Apr 2019 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 28 Apr 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 28 Apr 2019 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 28 Apr 2019 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 28 Apr 2019 18:00 183 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 29 Apr 2019 00:00 111 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 29 Apr 2019 06:00 105 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 29 Apr 2019 12:00 91 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 29 Apr 2019 18:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 30 Apr 2019 00:00 78 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 30 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 27 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 28 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 28 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 28 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 28 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 23 29 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 24 29 Apr 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 25 29 Apr 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 26 29 Apr 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 27 30 Apr 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Lubuktandjung, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 30 Apr 2019 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Kerkap Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Serangai Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Penampung Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Lais Indonesia  0.9
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Baru Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Chilachap Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Adipala Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 21:15 Binangoen Indonesia  0.9
28 Apr 2019 06:45 Guring Indonesia  0.9
28 Apr 2019 06:45 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.9
28 Apr 2019 10:00 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.9
28 Apr 2019 10:00 Sumur Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 05:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.8
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.8
30 Apr 2019 23:15 Ketaun Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Labuhan Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 06:00 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Menango Indonesia  0.7
01 May 2019 04:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.7
01 May 2019 04:30 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.7
01 May 2019 04:30 Tarahan Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 07:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 16:30 Seblat Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 16:30 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Ajah Indonesia  0.7
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Cijulang Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 22:15 Panggul Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 22:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 22:15 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Mana Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 08:45 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 07:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 20:15 Belowa Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 20:15 Taoabi Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 20:15 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Karbang Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Walur Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Wainapal Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Krui Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Kerbang Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:30 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 07:00 Putih Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Popoh Indonesia  0.6
30 Apr 2019 09:15 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 16:45 Ipun Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 16:45 Airrami Indonesia  0.6
28 Apr 2019 22:15 Ngalam Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 15:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.6
29 Apr 2019 16:30 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:15 Kabue Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.5
01 May 2019 23:30 Chikalong Indonesia  0.5
01 May 2019 23:30 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.5
01 May 2019 04:15 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.5
01 May 2019 04:15 Kalianda Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Deliugo Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Kalak Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Patjitan Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 16:15 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Galur Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Srandakan Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 11:15 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 11:15 Tjampang Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 11:15 Belimbing Indonesia  0.5
02 May 2019 15:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 22:00 Bulasat Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 15:45 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.5
28 Apr 2019 15:45 Beriang Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 16:00 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 16:00 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 16:00 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:30 Bendungan Indonesia  0.5
30 Apr 2019 23:30 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 14:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Babadan Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 09:00 South Point Christmas Island  0.4
28 Apr 2019 09:00 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.4
28 Apr 2019 06:45 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:00 Plotot Indonesia  0.4
02 May 2019 16:30 Merak Indonesia  0.4
02 May 2019 16:30 Domas Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 04:15 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.4
28 Apr 2019 04:15 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.4
28 Apr 2019 23:00 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Ngaras Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 07:15 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.4
01 May 2019 00:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Waibatang Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 17:30 Chihara Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 17:30 Bajah Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Limau Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 05:45 Biha Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 10:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 10:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:15 Tjimari Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:15 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 07:15 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 10:15 Kramat Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Marang Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 15:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 12:15 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.3
02 May 2019 21:30 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:15 Cidora Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 17:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 17:00 Balubuk Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 15:15 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:15 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:30 Gardu Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 20:00 Mutua Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 20:00 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 19:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 19:00 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 10:30 Patrol Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 10:30 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 02:15 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 01:00 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 17:00 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 20:15 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 20:15 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 20:15 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:15 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:15 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 14:15 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 18:45 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 13:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:45 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 19:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Batangan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Rembang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:15 Remen Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 17:00 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:45 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:45 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:45 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Taju Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 14:45 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 14:45 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Wedung Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 18:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:45 Losan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:45 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:45 Pemalang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:45 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:45 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:00 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:00 Sidja Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 13:15 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 13:15 Bugel Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 13:15 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 06:00 Karangsari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2