Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OLGA-19
in United States
25 Oct 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OLGA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Canada, United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (25 Oct 21:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.2 m 373 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 108 km/h 0.2 m 373 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

108 km/h

Up to 1.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormCanada, United States, Mexico1,937,560
+
Canada22,571 
United States1,913,628 
Mexico1,361 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Oct 2019 18:00 108 -
- - - - - Canada, United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States11,621 
50-100 mmUnited States3,803,621 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Oct 2019 18:00 373 10 thousand
- - - - United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Primero de Mayo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2019 21:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2019 21:15 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Salinas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 La Presita Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Guerrero Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 21:00 Laja Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:45 El Tular Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Chabihau Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Pixoy Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Conejo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Cerrito Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Chisahcab Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:30 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:45 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:15 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:45 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:15 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:15 Los Pericos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:30 Chelem Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:30 Progreso Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:15 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:45 Sisal Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Chipepte Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Nautla Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:30 Tonala Mexico  0.1