Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
30 Oct 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (09 Nov 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 141 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 1.5 m 406 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia2,460 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Oct 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Nov 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 07 Nov 2019 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia155,322 
100-250 mmIndia, Burma5,386,456
+
India5,382,954 
Burma3,502 
50-100 mmNepal, India, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Burma, Thailand10,648,845
+
Nepal299 
India8,509,077 
Bhutan71 
Bangladesh1,018,985 
Burma1,118,299 
Thailand2,114 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Oct 2019 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Nov 2019 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 00:00 559 5.5 million
- - - Nepal, India, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Burma, Thailand
Blue 3 07 Nov 2019 00:00 559 5.5 million
- - - Nepal, India, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Burma, Thailand




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Rasalpur, India. This height is estimated for 09 Nov 2019 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Nov 2019 19:00 Rasalpur India  0.5
09 Nov 2019 19:00 Chandipur India  0.5
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Bara Pata Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Rabipur Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Alanbya Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Kawbein Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Damathat Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Zokali Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Taungxun Myanmar  0.3
09 Nov 2019 13:00 Satabhaya India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 17:15 Hukitala India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Kalipur Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Jnanpara Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Dhalua Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Mahipur Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Chandkhali Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Burir Char Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Kachupatra Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Arpangasia Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:45 Kalapara Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:15 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:15 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 22:15 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:00 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:00 Budin Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:15 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:15 Donwun Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:00 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:30 Mahameik Myanmar  0.3
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Nuliasahi India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Nuagan India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:30 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 14:30 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 14:30 Hatia Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 14:30 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 14:30 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 14:30 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 14:30 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 14:30 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 14:30 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 14:30 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 16:30 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 16:30 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 16:30 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 16:30 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 16:30 Kumira Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 15:00 Darein Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 15:00 Paung Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:15 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:15 Charparbati Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:15 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:15 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:15 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:15 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:15 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:15 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:15 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 09:15 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 09:15 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 09:15 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 09:15 Thingangon Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 09:15 Kyauktazi Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 20:45 Pyapon Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 20:45 Apaung Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 20:45 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 20:45 Ase Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Magnama Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Napura Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 18:15 Konarak India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 23:30 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 20:30 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 23:30 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 23:30 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 11:45 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:45 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:45 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:45 Ama Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Gahira Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Anowara Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:45 Noapara Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 01:45 Kakinada India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 21:15 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.1
07 Nov 2019 13:30 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 10:00 Alandaing Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 10:00 Hseikma Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 18:30 Balighai India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 06:30 Pyinkayaing Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 06:30 Wagon Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 06:30 Ledaung Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 06:30 Chaunggwa Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 06:30 Magyigyaing Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 06:30 Thetkethaung Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 06:30 Okkan Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Chetpauk Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 13:45 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:30 Karen India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 22:30 Puri India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 10:15 Zibyugyaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.1
07 Nov 2019 13:15 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Gopalpur India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Chatrapur India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Canjam India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Paluru India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:15 Bhimunipatnam India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:15 Konada India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 07:30 Anin Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 07:30 Thinbawzeik Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 21:45 Baruva India  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Malud India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:00 Nuralrevu India  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Baga Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 15:00 Panasapada India  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.1
07 Nov 2019 13:00 Koyyam India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 13:00 Dharmavaram India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 13:00 Srikurman India  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.1