Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
07 Nov 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Bangladesh, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.1 m (10 Nov 02:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 112 km/h 2.1 m 231 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 570 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

Up to 19.6 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBangladesh, India19,649,020
+
Bangladesh13,957,076 
India5,691,944 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 5 30 Oct 2019 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 31 Oct 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 31 Oct 2019 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 01 Nov 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 01 Nov 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 02 Nov 2019 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 02 Nov 2019 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 03 Nov 2019 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 21 03 Nov 2019 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 24 04 Nov 2019 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 25 04 Nov 2019 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 26 05 Nov 2019 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 27 05 Nov 2019 06:00 76 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 28 05 Nov 2019 12:00 65 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 29 05 Nov 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 06 Nov 2019 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 06 Nov 2019 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 06 Nov 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 06 Nov 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 07 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 07 Nov 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 07 Nov 2019 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 07 Nov 2019 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh, India8,808,109
+
Bangladesh7,844,359 
India963,750 
100-250 mmBangladesh, India22,088,791
+
Bangladesh17,586,068 
India4,502,723 
50-100 mmBangladesh, India, Burma34,696,470
+
Bangladesh26,856,869 
India6,565,661 
Burma1,273,940 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 06:00 135 1.8 million
- - - - Vietnam
Blue 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 139 290 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 5 30 Oct 2019 18:00 106 3 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 00:00 77 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 06:00 62 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 8 31 Oct 2019 12:00 69 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 9 31 Oct 2019 18:00 139 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 00:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 01 Nov 2019 12:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 01 Nov 2019 18:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 00:00 54 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 02 Nov 2019 12:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 02 Nov 2019 18:00 75 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 03 Nov 2019 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 03 Nov 2019 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 04 Nov 2019 12:00 139 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 25 04 Nov 2019 18:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Nov 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Nov 2019 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 05 Nov 2019 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 05 Nov 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 06 Nov 2019 00:00 45 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 06 Nov 2019 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 06 Nov 2019 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 06 Nov 2019 18:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 07 Nov 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 07 Nov 2019 06:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 07 Nov 2019 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 07 Nov 2019 18:00 405 30.9 million
- - - Bangladesh, India, Burma




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

2.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.1m in Kalipur, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 10 Nov 2019 02:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Kalipur Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Jnanpara Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Dhalua Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Mahipur Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Chandkhali Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Burir Char Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Kachupatra Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Arpangasia Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Kalapara Bangladesh  2.1
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Bara Pata Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Chandpur Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Rabipur Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Char Manpura Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Bamnia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Charparbati Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Tulatali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Char Fakura Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Char Chandia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Banskhali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Bariakhali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:30 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 10:30 Dhalapara Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 10:30 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 10:30 Sandwip Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Barabkunda Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Bansbaria Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 09:45 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 09:45 Hatia Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 09:45 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 09:45 Nalchira Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 09:45 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 10:15 Nayamasti Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Kumira Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.9
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.9
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.9
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Baga Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 17:30 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Gahira Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Anowara Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Noapara Bangladesh  0.7
09 Nov 2019 08:15 Rasalpur India  0.6
09 Nov 2019 08:15 Chandipur India  0.6
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Magnama Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Napura Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:00 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:00 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:00 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:00 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Alanbya Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Kawbein Myanmar  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:00 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Damathat Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Zokali Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Taungxun Myanmar  0.3
10 Nov 2019 05:45 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 05:45 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.3
08 Nov 2019 02:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 02:00 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 02:00 Budin Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Donwun Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 02:15 Mahameik Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 02:00 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.3
09 Nov 2019 01:15 Hukitala India  0.3
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.3
09 Nov 2019 01:15 Satabhaya India  0.2
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Fasiakhali Bangladesh  0.2
08 Nov 2019 02:45 Darein Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 02:45 Paung Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 19:30 Geonkhali India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 19:30 Nurpur India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 19:30 Diamond Harbor India  0.2
08 Nov 2019 09:00 Pyapon Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 09:00 Apaung Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 09:00 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 09:00 Ase Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 23:45 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 23:45 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 23:45 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 21:30 Nuliasahi India  0.2
08 Nov 2019 21:30 Nuagan India  0.2
08 Nov 2019 09:00 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:15 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:15 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 22:45 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Tumbru Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Barisal Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Aicha Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 At Hazar Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Bisarad Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Bisarikati Charkhanda Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Bageswari Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Mahisha Gagaria Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Chandkati Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Bazemahal Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 23:15 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 08:30 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 22:45 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 22:45 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 00:15 Konarak India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 19:45 Kakinada India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 18:00 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 18:00 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 18:00 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 18:00 Thingangon Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 18:00 Kyauktazi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 08:15 Alandaing Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 08:15 Hseikma Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 05:00 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 22:45 Wagaru Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 22:45 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 22:45 Karokpi Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 00:30 Balighai India  0.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Ama Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 20:30 Pyinkayaing Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 20:30 Wagon Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 20:30 Ledaung Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 20:30 Chaunggwa Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 20:30 Magyigyaing Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 20:30 Thetkethaung Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 20:30 Okkan Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:15 Chetpauk Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 22:45 Anin Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 19:45 Zibyugyaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 00:30 Puri India  0.1