Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
08 Nov 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Bangladesh, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.0 m (10 Nov 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 122 km/h 2.0 m 131 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 570 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBangladesh, India14,002,929
+
Bangladesh8,787,992 
India5,214,937 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 5 30 Oct 2019 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 31 Oct 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 31 Oct 2019 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 01 Nov 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 01 Nov 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 02 Nov 2019 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 02 Nov 2019 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 03 Nov 2019 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 21 03 Nov 2019 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 24 04 Nov 2019 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 25 04 Nov 2019 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 26 05 Nov 2019 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 27 05 Nov 2019 06:00 76 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 28 05 Nov 2019 12:00 65 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 29 05 Nov 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 06 Nov 2019 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 06 Nov 2019 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 06 Nov 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 06 Nov 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 07 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 07 Nov 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 07 Nov 2019 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 07 Nov 2019 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 08 Nov 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 39 08 Nov 2019 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 40 08 Nov 2019 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

570 mm

Up to 40.3 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh, India1,776,878
+
India240,005 
Bangladesh1,536,873 
100-250 mmBangladesh, India38,514,356
+
India7,204,765 
Bangladesh31,309,591 
50-100 mmIndia, Burma, Bangladesh81,421,871
+
India37,951,743 
Burma134,405 
Bangladesh43,335,723 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 06:00 135 1.8 million
- - - - Vietnam
Blue 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 139 290 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 5 30 Oct 2019 18:00 106 3 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 00:00 77 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 06:00 62 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 8 31 Oct 2019 12:00 69 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 9 31 Oct 2019 18:00 139 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 00:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 01 Nov 2019 12:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 01 Nov 2019 18:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 00:00 54 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 02 Nov 2019 12:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 02 Nov 2019 18:00 75 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 03 Nov 2019 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 03 Nov 2019 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 04 Nov 2019 12:00 139 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 25 04 Nov 2019 18:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Nov 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Nov 2019 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 05 Nov 2019 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 05 Nov 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 06 Nov 2019 00:00 45 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 06 Nov 2019 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 06 Nov 2019 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 06 Nov 2019 18:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 07 Nov 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 07 Nov 2019 06:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 07 Nov 2019 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 07 Nov 2019 18:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 08 Nov 2019 00:00 157 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
Blue 39 08 Nov 2019 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 40 08 Nov 2019 12:00 331 40.3 million
- - - India, Burma, Bangladesh




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.0m in Kalipur, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 10 Nov 2019 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Kalipur Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Jnanpara Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Dhalua Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Mahipur Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Chandkhali Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Burir Char Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Kachupatra Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Arpangasia Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Kalapara Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Bara Pata Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Chandpur Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Rabipur Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Manpura Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Bamnia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Charparbati Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Tulatali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Char Fakura Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Char Chandia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Banskhali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Bariakhali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Dhalapara Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Barabkunda Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Bansbaria Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Sandwip Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Kumira Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Hatia Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Gahira Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Anowara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Noapara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 13:30 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:30 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:30 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:30 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:30 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:30 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:45 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:45 Baga Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Magnama Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Napura Bangladesh  0.5
09 Nov 2019 02:15 Rasalpur India  0.5
09 Nov 2019 02:15 Chandipur India  0.5
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 17:00 Geonkhali India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:00 Nurpur India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 17:00 Diamond Harbor India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 00:15 Hukitala India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 00:15 Satabhaya India  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Fasiakhali Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Damathat Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Zokali Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Taungxun Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:30 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 14:45 Nuliasahi India  0.2
08 Nov 2019 14:45 Nuagan India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Budin Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Kadaik Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Donwun Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Tumbru Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 14:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 04:15 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:00 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 17:30 Konarak India  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Barisal Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Aicha Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:30 At Hazar Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Bisarad Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Bisarikati Charkhanda Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Bageswari Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Mahisha Gagaria Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Chandkati Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 00:30 Bazemahal Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Mahameik Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 12:45 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:00 Kakinada India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 01:15 Balighai India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:15 Pyapon Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:15 Apaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:15 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:15 Ase Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:15 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:30 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Darein Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Paung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 12:00 Pentakota India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Nuralrevu India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Gopalpur India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:00 Chetpauk Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 19:45 Puri India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 19:30 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 21:15 Anin Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 21:15 Thinbawzeik Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1