Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
09 Nov 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Bangladesh, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (10 Nov 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 119 km/h 1.4 m 160 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 570 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBangladesh, India8,034,607
+
Bangladesh1,405,636 
India6,628,971 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 5 30 Oct 2019 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 31 Oct 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 31 Oct 2019 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 01 Nov 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 01 Nov 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 02 Nov 2019 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 02 Nov 2019 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 03 Nov 2019 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 21 03 Nov 2019 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 24 04 Nov 2019 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 25 04 Nov 2019 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 26 05 Nov 2019 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 27 05 Nov 2019 06:00 76 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 28 05 Nov 2019 12:00 65 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 29 05 Nov 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 06 Nov 2019 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 06 Nov 2019 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 06 Nov 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 06 Nov 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 07 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 07 Nov 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 07 Nov 2019 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 07 Nov 2019 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 08 Nov 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 39 08 Nov 2019 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 40 08 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 41 08 Nov 2019 18:00 133 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 42 09 Nov 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 43 09 Nov 2019 06:00 119 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

570 mm

Up to 20.1 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh, India126,720
+
India84,544 
Bangladesh42,176 
100-250 mmBangladesh, India19,978,966
+
India4,979,903 
Bangladesh14,999,063 
50-100 mmIndia, Bangladesh, Burma46,708,883
+
India32,910,716 
Bangladesh13,786,336 
Burma11,831 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 06:00 135 1.8 million
- - - - Vietnam
Blue 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 139 290 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 5 30 Oct 2019 18:00 106 3 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 00:00 77 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 06:00 62 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 8 31 Oct 2019 12:00 69 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 9 31 Oct 2019 18:00 139 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 00:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 01 Nov 2019 12:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 01 Nov 2019 18:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 00:00 54 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 02 Nov 2019 12:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 02 Nov 2019 18:00 75 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 03 Nov 2019 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 03 Nov 2019 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 04 Nov 2019 12:00 139 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 25 04 Nov 2019 18:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Nov 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Nov 2019 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 05 Nov 2019 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 05 Nov 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 06 Nov 2019 00:00 45 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 06 Nov 2019 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 06 Nov 2019 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 06 Nov 2019 18:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 07 Nov 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 07 Nov 2019 06:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 07 Nov 2019 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 07 Nov 2019 18:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 08 Nov 2019 00:00 157 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
Blue 39 08 Nov 2019 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 40 08 Nov 2019 12:00 131 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
Blue 41 08 Nov 2019 18:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 42 09 Nov 2019 00:00 94 -
- - - - - India, Bangladesh
Blue 43 09 Nov 2019 06:00 280 20.1 million
- - - India, Bangladesh, Burma




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.4m in Kalipur, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 10 Nov 2019 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Kalipur Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Jnanpara Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Dhalua Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Mahipur Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Chandkhali Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Burir Char Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Kachupatra Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Arpangasia Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 04:00 Kalapara Bangladesh  1.4
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Bara Pata Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Rabipur Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Char Manpura Bangladesh  1.2
09 Nov 2019 07:00 Rasalpur India  0.8
09 Nov 2019 07:00 Chandipur India  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Hatia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Charparbati Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:15 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:15 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:15 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:15 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Kumira Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 18:30 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 18:30 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 18:30 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 18:30 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 19:45 Baga Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 19:45 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 19:45 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 19:45 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 19:45 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 19:15 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 20:00 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Gahira Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Anowara Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Noapara Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Magnama Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Napura Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 19:00 Geonkhali India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 19:00 Nurpur India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 19:00 Diamond Harbor India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:30 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Fasiakhali Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:15 Damathat Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:15 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:15 Zokali Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:15 Taungxun Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 12:15 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 12:15 Budin Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 12:15 Kadaik Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 12:15 Donwun Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Inani Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 16:00 Kakinada India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 12:15 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 12:15 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 12:45 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:30 Hukitala India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 12:15 Mahameik Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 12:45 Khindan Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Tumbru Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:30 Satabhaya India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:45 Darein Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:45 Paung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 12:30 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 06:00 Nuliasahi India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:45 Nuagan India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:15 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:15 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:15 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 06:00 Konarak India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 12:15 Chetpauk Myanmar  0.1