Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
09 Nov 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Bangladesh, India
Exposed population 90 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 169 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.9 m (10 Nov 01:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 169 km/h 1.9 m 162 mm 1.5
GFS Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 570 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

169 km/h

Up to 90 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Bangladesh, India93,678
+
Bangladesh134 
India93,544 
Tropical StormBangladesh, India20,519,917
+
Bangladesh10,829,779 
India9,690,138 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 5 30 Oct 2019 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 31 Oct 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 31 Oct 2019 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 01 Nov 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 01 Nov 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 02 Nov 2019 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 02 Nov 2019 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 03 Nov 2019 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 21 03 Nov 2019 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 24 04 Nov 2019 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 25 04 Nov 2019 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 26 05 Nov 2019 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 27 05 Nov 2019 06:00 76 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 28 05 Nov 2019 12:00 65 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 29 05 Nov 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 06 Nov 2019 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 06 Nov 2019 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 06 Nov 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 06 Nov 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 07 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 07 Nov 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 07 Nov 2019 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 07 Nov 2019 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 08 Nov 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 39 08 Nov 2019 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 40 08 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 41 08 Nov 2019 18:00 133 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 42 09 Nov 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 43 09 Nov 2019 06:00 119 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 44 09 Nov 2019 12:00 126 -
- - - - - India, Bangladesh
ORANGE 45 09 Nov 2019 18:00 169 90 thousand
- - - - Bangladesh, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmBangladesh, India19,633,889
+
Bangladesh19,178,260 
India455,629 
50-100 mmBangladesh, India16,492,949
+
Bangladesh12,914,798 
India3,578,151 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 06:00 135 1.8 million
- - - - Vietnam
Blue 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 139 290 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 5 30 Oct 2019 18:00 106 3 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 00:00 77 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 06:00 62 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 8 31 Oct 2019 12:00 69 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 9 31 Oct 2019 18:00 139 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 00:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 01 Nov 2019 12:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 01 Nov 2019 18:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 00:00 54 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 02 Nov 2019 12:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 02 Nov 2019 18:00 75 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 03 Nov 2019 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 03 Nov 2019 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 04 Nov 2019 12:00 139 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 25 04 Nov 2019 18:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Nov 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Nov 2019 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 05 Nov 2019 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 05 Nov 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 06 Nov 2019 00:00 45 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 06 Nov 2019 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 06 Nov 2019 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 06 Nov 2019 18:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 07 Nov 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 07 Nov 2019 06:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 07 Nov 2019 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 07 Nov 2019 18:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 08 Nov 2019 00:00 157 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
Blue 39 08 Nov 2019 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 40 08 Nov 2019 12:00 131 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
Blue 41 08 Nov 2019 18:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 42 09 Nov 2019 00:00 94 -
- - - - - India, Bangladesh
Blue 43 09 Nov 2019 06:00 160 -
- - - - - India
Blue 44 09 Nov 2019 12:00 163 380 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 45 09 Nov 2019 18:00 240 19.6 million
- - - - Bangladesh, India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.9m in Kalipur, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 10 Nov 2019 01:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Kalipur Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Jnanpara Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Dhalua Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Mahipur Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Chandkhali Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Burir Char Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Kachupatra Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Arpangasia Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 01:30 Kalapara Bangladesh  1.9
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Bara Pata Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Chandpur Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Rabipur Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Char Manpura Bangladesh  1.7
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Bamnia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Charparbati Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Tulatali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Char Fakura Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Char Chandia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Banskhali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Bariakhali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Sandwip Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Hatia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Nalchira Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 10:45 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Kumira Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 05:15 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Gahira Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Anowara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Noapara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Harni Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Hazari Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 18:15 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 18:15 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 18:15 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 18:15 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:30 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:30 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 16:30 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 18:15 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 18:15 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 17:45 Baga Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 17:45 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Magnama Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Napura Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 18:30 Geonkhali India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 18:30 Nurpur India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 18:30 Diamond Harbor India  0.3
10 Nov 2019 06:00 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 06:00 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 06:00 Fasiakhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:45 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:45 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:45 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:45 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:45 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:45 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Damathat Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 21:45 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 21:45 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 21:45 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 21:45 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 21:45 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 21:45 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 21:45 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 21:45 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 21:45 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Zokali Myanmar  0.2
12 Nov 2019 15:00 Taungxun Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Tumbru Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Barisal Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Aicha Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:30 At Hazar Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Bisarad Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Bisarikati Charkhanda Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Bageswari Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Mahisha Gagaria Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Chandkati Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 05:30 Bazemahal Bangladesh  0.2
12 Nov 2019 14:15 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 14:15 Budin Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 14:15 Kadaik Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 14:15 Donwun Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 14:15 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 14:15 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 21:15 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 14:15 Mahameik Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 14:15 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Donbaik Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Rathedaung Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 14:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 13:45 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 12:30 Darein Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 12:30 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 12:30 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
12 Nov 2019 12:30 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 23:15 Kakinada India  0.1
12 Nov 2019 13:15 Paung Myanmar  0.1