Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
08 Nov 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Bangladesh, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (09 Nov 21:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 1.6 m 149 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 1.5 m 406 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to 360 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBangladesh, India359,903
+
Bangladesh220,506 
India139,397 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Oct 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Nov 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Nov 2019 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh, India7,646,163
+
India2,394,379 
Bangladesh5,251,784 
100-250 mmIndia, Bangladesh, Burma137,255,244
+
Burma146,808 
India44,531,005 
Bangladesh92,577,431 
50-100 mmBurma, India, Bangladesh36,468,763
+
Burma1,088,141 
India14,436,850 
Bangladesh20,943,772 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Oct 2019 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Nov 2019 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Nov 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Nov 2019 12:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 Nov 2019 00:00 361 144.9 million
- - - Burma, India, Bangladesh




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

1.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.6m in Bara Pata, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 09 Nov 2019 21:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Bara Pata Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Chandpur Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Rabipur Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Char Manpura Bangladesh  1.6
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Kalipur Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Jnanpara Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Dhalua Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Mahipur Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Chandkhali Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Burir Char Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Kachupatra Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Arpangasia Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 18:45 Kalapara Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Bamnia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Charparbati Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Tulatali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Char Fakura Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Char Chandia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Banskhali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Bariakhali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Dhalapara Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Sandwip Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Kumira Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Hatia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Nalchira Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 02:45 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 03:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  1.2
09 Nov 2019 19:15 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.9
09 Nov 2019 19:15 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.9
09 Nov 2019 19:15 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.9
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Gahira Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Anowara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 00:45 Noapara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Harni Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Hazari Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Baga Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.7
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.5
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.5
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Magnama Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Napura Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 00:00 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.5
09 Nov 2019 21:15 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.5
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.4
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.4
09 Nov 2019 00:00 Rasalpur India  0.4
09 Nov 2019 00:00 Chandipur India  0.4
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.4
09 Nov 2019 20:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.4
09 Nov 2019 20:00 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.4
08 Nov 2019 22:00 Hukitala India  0.3
08 Nov 2019 21:45 Satabhaya India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 19:45 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 19:45 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 19:45 Fasiakhali Bangladesh  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 14:00 Damathat Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Zokali Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Taungxun Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Budin Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Kadaik Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Donwun Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 14:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:00 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:00 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:00 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:00 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:45 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 17:15 Nuliasahi India  0.2
08 Nov 2019 17:15 Nuagan India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:15 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:15 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 12:45 Chetpauk Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 14:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:30 Mahameik Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:30 Tumbru Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:30 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.2
08 Nov 2019 14:45 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 20:30 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
08 Nov 2019 13:00 Darein Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:00 Paung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.1
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 21:30 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 08:15 Geonkhali India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 08:15 Nurpur India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 08:15 Diamond Harbor India  0.1
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 12:15 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 12:15 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 12:15 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:15 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:15 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:15 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:15 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:15 Donbaik Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:15 Rathedaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 03:45 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 03:45 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 03:45 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 03:45 Thingangon Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 03:45 Kyauktazi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 16:45 Konarak India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Kyaukpyinseik Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Sandawshin Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Myaukpyin Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Tandin Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Kyaukmaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Ponnagyi Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:30 Kudaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:00 Canjam India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:00 Paluru India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:00 Malud India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:45 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:45 Gwedaukchaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 23:00 Balighai India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 10:30 Pentakota India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:30 Gopalpur India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 15:30 Chatrapur India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:15 Chaunggya Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:15 Peikseik Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 03:45 Baruva India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:15 Phapholting Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 12:00 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:30 Khamaungdwe Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Zibyugyaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Pyinkayaing Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Wagon Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Ledaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Chaunggwa Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Magyigyaing Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Thetkethaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:15 Nuralrevu India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:15 Puri India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 14:30 Koyyam India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 14:30 Dharmavaram India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 14:30 Srikurman India  0.1