Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HALONG-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HALONG-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 277 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Nov 09:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 198 km/h 0.3 m 354 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 277 km/h 0.3 m 841 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Nov 2019 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Nov 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Nov 2019 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Nov 2019 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Nov 2019 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 04 Nov 2019 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Nov 2019 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Nov 2019 12:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Nov 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 05 Nov 2019 00:00 241 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 05 Nov 2019 06:00 245 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 05 Nov 2019 12:00 277 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 05 Nov 2019 18:00 270 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 06 Nov 2019 00:00 274 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 06 Nov 2019 06:00 263 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 06 Nov 2019 12:00 238 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 06 Nov 2019 18:00 234 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 07 Nov 2019 00:00 198 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

841 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Nov 2019 12:00 420 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Nov 2019 18:00 420 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Nov 2019 00:00 335 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 03 Nov 2019 06:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 03 Nov 2019 12:00 563 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Nov 2019 18:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 04 Nov 2019 00:00 188 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Nov 2019 06:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 04 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 04 Nov 2019 18:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 05 Nov 2019 00:00 362 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 05 Nov 2019 06:00 368 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 05 Nov 2019 12:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 05 Nov 2019 18:00 369 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 06 Nov 2019 00:00 457 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 06 Nov 2019 06:00 565 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 06 Nov 2019 12:00 456 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 06 Nov 2019 18:00 485 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 07 Nov 2019 00:00 354 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Lockwood Terrace, Guam. This height is estimated for 09 Nov 2019 09:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Agat Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Camp Bright Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Umatac Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Santa Rita Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Merizo Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Piti Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Asan Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Inarajan Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Hagatna Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Sinajana Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Talofofo Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Mongmong Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Ylig Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Yona Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Tamuning Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Barrigada Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Camp Quezon Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Harmon Village Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 South Acres Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Asbeco Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Adacao Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Ipapao Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Perez Acres Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.3
09 Nov 2019 09:15 Gayinero Guam  0.3
06 Nov 2019 15:00 Omura Japan  0.3
06 Nov 2019 15:00 Ogigaura Japan  0.3
06 Nov 2019 15:00 Sakaiura Japan  0.3
06 Nov 2019 19:30 Palikir Micronesia  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:30 Kolonia Micronesia  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:30 Lot Micronesia  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:30 Metalanim Micronesia  0.2
08 Nov 2019 01:15 Wotje Marshall Islands  0.2
09 Nov 2019 09:30 Oceanview Guam  0.2
09 Nov 2019 09:30 Dededo Guam  0.2
09 Nov 2019 09:30 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
09 Nov 2019 09:30 Upi Guam  0.2
09 Nov 2019 09:30 Asatdas Guam  0.2
09 Nov 2019 09:30 Lupog Guam  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:30 Ronkiti Micronesia  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
09 Nov 2019 13:45 Kaven Marshall Islands  0.2
07 Nov 2019 20:15 Oki Japan  0.2
07 Nov 2019 20:15 Hyogidaira Japan  0.2
09 Nov 2019 10:30 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
09 Nov 2019 10:30 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
09 Nov 2019 10:30 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
09 Nov 2019 10:30 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
05 Nov 2019 05:30 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
05 Nov 2019 05:30 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2

Calculation folder at this link