Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for AMPHAN-20
in India, Bangladesh, Bhutan
17 May 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMPHAN-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Bangladesh, India, Burma
Exposed population 6.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (17 May 13:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 130 km/h 0.3 m 194 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 263 km/h 2.2 m 1054 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

263 km/h

Up to 6.7 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Bangladesh2,096 
CAT. 2Bangladesh63,090 
CAT. 1Bangladesh6,598,977 
Tropical StormBangladesh, India, Burma59,088,109
+
Bangladesh52,101,473 
India6,949,467 
Burma37,169 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 May 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 May 2020 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 May 2020 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 May 2020 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 May 2020 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 17 May 2020 12:00 223 6.7 million
- - Bangladesh, India, Burma
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh1,281,881 
100-250 mmBangladesh, India22,239,133
+
Bangladesh16,443,588 
India5,795,545 
50-100 mmBangladesh, India, Burma63,423,331
+
Bangladesh34,562,320 
India28,540,174 
Burma320,837 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 May 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 16 May 2020 12:00 308 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 16 May 2020 18:00 234 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 May 2020 00:00 296 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 May 2020 06:00 311 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 17 May 2020 12:00 884 23.5 million
- - - Bangladesh, India, Burma




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Shwe-o, Myanmar. This height is estimated for 17 May 2020 13:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 May 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 May 2020 13:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 13:30 Alanbya Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 13:30 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 13:30 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 13:30 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 13:30 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 13:30 Kawbein Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:15 Mahameik Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:15 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:15 Damathat Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:30 Zokali Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:30 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:30 Budin Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:30 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:30 Donwun Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:15 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:15 Taungxun Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 14:30 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 15:00 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.3
17 May 2020 15:00 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 14:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 14:30 Darein Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 14:30 Paung Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 15:45 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 15:45 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 15:45 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 15:30 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 12:15 Karuvaddukkeni Sri Lanka  0.2
17 May 2020 12:15 Pulmoddai Sri Lanka  0.2
17 May 2020 12:15 Analkaddimady Sri Lanka  0.2
17 May 2020 17:00 Gangra India  0.2
17 May 2020 17:00 Kakdwip India  0.2
17 May 2020 17:00 Namkhana India  0.2
17 May 2020 17:00 Belpukur India  0.2
17 May 2020 16:15 Kala-ywa Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 16:15 Ase-ywa Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 14:00 Therunattam India  0.2
17 May 2020 17:30 Dublat India  0.2
17 May 2020 15:00 Thaunggon Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 15:00 Mibya Myanmar  0.2
17 May 2020 15:45 Hngetkyidaung Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 15:45 Thegondan Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 14:15 Sinma Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 14:15 Tazin Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 14:15 Kangy Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 16:00 Karen India  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Ennore India  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Kelambakkam India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:45 Purnankuppam India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:45 Pondicherry India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:45 Kalapettai India  0.1
17 May 2020 14:45 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 13:30 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:30 Madhavaram India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:30 Chennai India  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Baruva India  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Kamla Char Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Kumira Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 13:30 Walauttu Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 13:30 Uppuveli Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 13:30 Trincomalee Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 13:30 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 15:00 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:00 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:00 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:00 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:00 Anowara Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:00 Noapara Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 14:00 Gollapalem India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:30 Venkatapuram India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:30 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:30 Pudimadaka India  0.1
17 May 2020 17:00 Peddapatnam India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Vishakhapatnam India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Chittivalasa India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Bhimunipatnam India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Konada India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 14:45 Atirampattinam India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:45 Ilichar India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:00 Ase Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 13:00 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 13:00 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 14:00 Pentakota India  0.1
17 May 2020 14:30 Kattumavadi India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:45 Kottapatnam India  0.1
17 May 2020 15:15 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 12:00 Polaung Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 12:00 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 12:00 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 12:00 Ama Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 12:45 Anaitivu Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 12:30 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 12:30 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Kyaukiwe Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Taikkyua Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Kokkabyin Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Thabyichaung Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Nga Thamok Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 12:15 Kyaungbyin-ok Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Kakinada India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:00 Chaunggyi Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 12:00 Aunghlaing Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 17:45 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 17:45 Hatia Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 17:45 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 17:45 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 17:45 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Kuvattur India  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Mahabalipuram India  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Gahira Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 15:30 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 13:45 Nuliasahi India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:45 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Chakicherla India  0.1
17 May 2020 17:15 Naupada India  0.1
17 May 2020 17:15 Ammalapadu India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:30 Tirumullaivasal India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:30 Kaveripattanam India  0.1
17 May 2020 17:45 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 17:45 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 17:45 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 17:45 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.1
17 May 2020 14:30 Manamelkudi India  0.1
17 May 2020 14:30 Ammapatam India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Nuralrevu India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Gopalpur India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Chatrapur India  0.1
17 May 2020 12:30 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2020 13:30 Nizampatam India  0.1
17 May 2020 14:15 Digha India  0.1
17 May 2020 14:15 Ramnagar India  0.1
17 May 2020 17:15 Puri India  0.1
17 May 2020 17:15 Balighai India  0.1
17 May 2020 13:15 Bogon Myanmar  0.1