Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIX-E-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIX-E-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (15 Jul 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 47 km/h 0.4 m 335 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 65 km/h 0.5 m 463 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Jul 2020 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Jul 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico210355 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2020 00:00 360 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 13 Jul 2020 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2020 00:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 14 Jul 2020 12:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2020 00:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jul 2020 12:00 562 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 15 Jul 2020 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jul 2020 21:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.4
15 Jul 2020 21:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.4
15 Jul 2020 21:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4
15 Jul 2020 19:45 La Choya Mexico  0.4
15 Jul 2020 19:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
15 Jul 2020 22:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Maudlowe United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Tivoli United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Austwell United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Green Lake United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 12:00 North Seadrift United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Long Mott United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Seadrift United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 12:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 20:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 13:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 13:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 16:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 16:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 23:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 16:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 16:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 16:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:15 Molino Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 13:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 13:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 23:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 13:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 12:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 16:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 North Beach United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Doyle United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Portland United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 16:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 22:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Loyola Beach United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 La Parra Landing United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Faria United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Dulah United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Ventura United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:00 Oxnard United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Mission United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Montecito United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Summerland United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Serena Park United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Carpinteria United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Rincon United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Shepards United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:45 Punta United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Isla Vista United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Goleta United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:00 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:45 Liliba Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 23:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:00 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 17:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:15 Mirador Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:15 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 15:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:30 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 16:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link