Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico
13 Aug 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (13 Aug 02:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.6 m 177 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.7 m 1071 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico19 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 126 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 10 11 Aug 2020 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Aug 2020 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 11 Aug 2020 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 Aug 2020 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Aug 2020 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 12 Aug 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 12 Aug 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 13 Aug 2020 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico106,271 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 192 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 217 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 10 11 Aug 2020 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Aug 2020 12:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 11 Aug 2020 18:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 Aug 2020 00:00 260 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 12 Aug 2020 06:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 12 Aug 2020 12:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 12 Aug 2020 18:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 13 Aug 2020 00:00 650 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Aug 2020 02:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Aug 2020 02:30 Molino Mexico  0.6
13 Aug 2020 02:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.6
13 Aug 2020 02:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.6
13 Aug 2020 02:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Jose Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Empalme Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 La Paz Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Datilito Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Liliba Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 04:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Loreto Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Ligui Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Tripui Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Mulege Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 01:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 01:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 04:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 05:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 05:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 05:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 04:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 04:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 05:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 05:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 04:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 01:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 01:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 01:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 06:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 05:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 06:00 Austwell United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 06:00 North Seadrift United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 06:00 Long Mott United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 06:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 04:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 North Beach United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Doyle United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Portland United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Gregory United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Pizota Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 05:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 01:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 01:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 04:15 Estes United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 04:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 04:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1