Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (09 Aug 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 151 km/h 0.8 m 364 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 151 km/h 0.8 m 364 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico163 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 130 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 10 11 Aug 2020 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Aug 2020 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 11 Aug 2020 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 Aug 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Aug 2020 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 12 Aug 2020 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 12 Aug 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 13 Aug 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

364 mm

Up to Few people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico189 
50-100 mmMexico743 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 169 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 363 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 183 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 200 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 10 11 Aug 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Aug 2020 12:00 77 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 11 Aug 2020 18:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 Aug 2020 00:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 12 Aug 2020 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 12 Aug 2020 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 12 Aug 2020 18:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 13 Aug 2020 00:00 34 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2020 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2020 17:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.8
13 Aug 2020 02:30 Molino Mexico  0.6
13 Aug 2020 02:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.6
13 Aug 2020 02:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.5
09 Aug 2020 17:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Novillero Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.4
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Datilito Mexico  0.4
12 Aug 2020 23:30 La Paz Mexico  0.4
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Rosario Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 23:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Monteon Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 23:45 La Lima Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 11:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 00:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Ligui Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Tripui Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 01:45 El Barril Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 02:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Loreto Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 00:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Jose Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 21:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:15 La Boca Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 17:30 Cedros Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Altata Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 21:45 Empalme Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 21:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 10:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 10:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 10:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:00 Mulege Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 19:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 21:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Marmol Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Liliba Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:00 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2020 18:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2020 18:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 21:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 01:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 17:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Dimas Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 11:30 Barron Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 08:30 Marquelia Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 14:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 07:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 07:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 07:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 21:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 09:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 09:45 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Florida Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 San Blas Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 05:15 La Playa Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 09:00 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 09:00 La Tuza Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 21:15 Copala Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 03:45 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 08:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:15 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 10:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 10:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 20:45 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 20:45 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 20:45 Chagues Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 04:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 20:30 Las Pinas Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 20:30 Playa Azul Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 21:00 El Marques Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 15:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 15:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 05:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 21:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 21:00 Coyote Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 21:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Austwell United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
14 Aug 2020 21:00 Acapulco Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:15 Cunano Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Chola Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 09:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 09:30 Joluta Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Pizota Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Calvario Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 04:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 22:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 22:30 Apisa Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 22:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 22:30 San Telmo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:15 El Tule Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 10:15 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 10:15 Chula Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 21:00 Nuxco Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 04:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 11:30 Ipala Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 11:30 Chamela Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 21:30 El Real Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 08:45 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Corrales Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 22:15 Santiago Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 08:30 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 05:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 10:15 Maruata Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 North Beach United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Doyle United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Portland United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Gregory United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Estes United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 10:15 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Rockport United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:15 El Martillo United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Yarborough United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 03:45 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 03:45 Lamar United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 04:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 04:00 Fulton United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 01:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 01:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1