Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARINA-20
Off-shore
17 Sep 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (16 Sep 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 0.4 m 773 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.4 m 773 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Sep 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Sep 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Sep 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Sep 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 17 Sep 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico109,171 
50-100 mmMexico2,178,738 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2020 12:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 Sep 2020 00:00 687 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Sep 2020 12:00 388 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 14 Sep 2020 00:00 366 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 14 Sep 2020 12:00 276 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 15 Sep 2020 00:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Sep 2020 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2020 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2020 12:00 221 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 10 17 Sep 2020 00:00 227 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Sep 2020 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Sep 2020 19:00 Molino Mexico  0.4
16 Sep 2020 19:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.4
16 Sep 2020 19:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.4
16 Sep 2020 19:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.4
16 Sep 2020 19:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.4
13 Sep 2020 20:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
16 Sep 2020 19:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.4
13 Sep 2020 01:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
16 Sep 2020 19:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.4
18 Sep 2020 05:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2020 01:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
16 Sep 2020 09:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2020 04:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
13 Sep 2020 06:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 20:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 04:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 22:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 22:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 19:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 19:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 01:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 01:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 01:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 06:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 09:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 21:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 08:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 08:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 21:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 09:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 19:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 19:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 19:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 04:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 09:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 09:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 00:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 00:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 08:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 08:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 02:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 02:30 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 20:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:15 Tripui Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 23:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 23:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 00:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 01:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 01:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 21:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 21:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2020 20:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 07:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 21:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 10:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2020 09:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2020 09:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 02:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2020 03:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2020 03:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2020 03:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2020 03:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2020 03:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
16 Sep 2020 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2020 08:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2020 08:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2020 09:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 12:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 12:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2020 03:30 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 02:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 02:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 02:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 02:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 02:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 02:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2020 08:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:00 Pizota Mexico  0.1
14 Sep 2020 12:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1