Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARINA-20
Off-shore
16 Sep 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (17 Sep 10:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 126 km/h 0.5 m 586 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 126 km/h 0.5 m 586 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Sep 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Sep 2020 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2020 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Sep 2020 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 14 Sep 2020 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 15 Sep 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 15 Sep 2020 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 15 Sep 2020 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 15 Sep 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 16 Sep 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 16 Sep 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 16 Sep 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 16 Sep 2020 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

586 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Sep 2020 00:00 328 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 Sep 2020 06:00 343 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Sep 2020 12:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Sep 2020 18:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 14 Sep 2020 00:00 300 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 14 Sep 2020 06:00 331 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Sep 2020 12:00 376 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Sep 2020 18:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 15 Sep 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 15 Sep 2020 06:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Sep 2020 12:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Sep 2020 18:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 16 Sep 2020 00:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 16 Sep 2020 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 16 Sep 2020 12:00 35 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 16 Sep 2020 18:00 28 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Sep 2020 10:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Sep 2020 10:15 Molino Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2020 10:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.5
16 Sep 2020 23:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2020 10:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.5
15 Sep 2020 05:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2020 10:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2020 19:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2020 10:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2020 11:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2020 10:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2020 19:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.4
16 Sep 2020 23:15 Cedros Mexico  0.4
16 Sep 2020 23:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2020 19:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2020 10:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.4
18 Sep 2020 07:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.4
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2020 23:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 19:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
16 Sep 2020 12:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
16 Sep 2020 12:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 19:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 18:00 Datilito Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 18:00 La Paz Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 18:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
16 Sep 2020 12:15 Novillero Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 18:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 07:15 San Jose Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 07:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 07:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 07:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 19:15 Empalme Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 19:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 19:00 El Barril Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 07:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
16 Sep 2020 12:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 05:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2020 00:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 19:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
16 Sep 2020 12:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.3
15 Sep 2020 23:30 La Florida Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 19:15 Mulege Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 19:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 07:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 19:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
16 Sep 2020 12:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2020 06:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 06:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 18:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 19:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 19:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 12:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 00:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 00:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 06:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 07:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 07:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 07:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 06:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 06:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 06:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 06:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 07:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 19:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 04:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 04:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 20:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 20:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 20:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 12:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 12:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 23:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2020 23:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 20:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 23:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 23:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 23:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 16:15 El Rosario Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 01:15 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 20:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 11:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 00:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 00:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 00:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 00:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 00:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 06:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 03:15 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 11:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 18:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 07:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Quinones Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 18:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 06:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 06:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 06:30 Cunano Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2020 06:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 18:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
15 Sep 2020 18:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 20:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 20:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 20:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 23:30 Barron Mexico  0.2
16 Sep 2020 12:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2020 07:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
16 Sep 2020 20:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
16 Sep 2020 20:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2020 00:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Corrales Mexico  0.1