Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ZETA-20
in United States, Mexico, Cuba

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ZETA-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Cuba
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (25 Oct 02:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 65 km/h 0.3 m 165 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 173 km/h 2.3 m 720 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

173 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormCuba1,631 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2020 00:00 151 -
- - - - - Cuba
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmCuba, Mexico, Cayman Islands346,333
+
Cuba294,226 
Mexico1,537 
Cayman Islands50,570 
50-100 mmCuba, Mexico, Cayman Islands818,438
+
Cuba811,234 
Mexico5,151 
Cayman Islands2,053 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2020 18:00 353 -
- - - - - Cayman Islands
Blue 2 25 Oct 2020 00:00 524 350 thousand
- - - - Cuba, Mexico, Cayman Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Rio Platano, Honduras. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2020 02:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2020 02:30 Rio Platano Honduras  0.3
25 Oct 2020 02:30 Huarta Honduras  0.3
25 Oct 2020 02:30 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.3
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Caraipia Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Puertecitos Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Cardoncito Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Puerto Guerrero Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Calle Ancha Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Puerto Mara Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Paijana Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 San Rafael Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 El Toas Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 San Carlos Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Los Mochos Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Juruba Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Campo Alegre Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Zulia Mar Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Los Hermanitos Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Botoncillo Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 03:45 Majana Cuba  0.2
25 Oct 2020 03:45 Guanimar Cuba  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Karata Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:00 Wounta Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Guasimal Cuba  0.2
25 Oct 2020 03:30 El Cajio Cuba  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Los Filudos Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:45 La Gloria Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Pararu Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Campamento Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:45 La Punta Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Paraguaipoa Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Los Aceitunitos Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Guichep Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:45 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:45 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:45 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:45 Crucira Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Batabano Cuba  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:45 Victoria Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:45 Balchacah Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Guayamulisira Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Guarurtain Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:45 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:45 Set Net Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 04:00 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:30 El Cuyo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Chipepte Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Jumop Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Sichipes Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Neima Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Cojua Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Graytown Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Awastara Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Jurulapa Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Uluimana Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Gualipana Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Cojoro Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Guasapatu Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Palachuou Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Potchoure Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Zarrupiai Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Cuzi Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 00:30 Chabihau Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Laguna de Perlas Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Jautaipanou Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Raya Honduras  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Clubki Honduras  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Calinatay Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Molomana Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 03:00 Chichibacoa Colombia  0.2
25 Oct 2020 03:00 Guaguri Colombia  0.2
25 Oct 2020 03:00 Punta Espada Colombia  0.2
25 Oct 2020 00:15 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.2
25 Oct 2020 00:15 Almacen Cuba  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Jasav Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 06:00 San Agustin Venezuela  0.2
25 Oct 2020 03:15 La Gloria Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:15 El Horno Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Riohacha Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Pirpir Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Juskare Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Mayapo Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Arbol del Descanso Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Urachikarein Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Morchipa Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Parsua Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:45 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:45 Limon Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:45 Kukra Hill Nicaragua  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Barra del Rio Maiz Nicaragua  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Buena Vista Nicaragua  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:45 Cozumel Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:45 Punta Molas del Norte Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Donel Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Bruner Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Guincua Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:15 New Haven Belize  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Monkey River Belize  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Shushirrara Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Iturumahana Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Araurio Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Puerto Aramatka Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Santa Rosa Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Mausahu Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Jojoromahana Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Auyama Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Cardon Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Kosinamahana Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Carrizal Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Limera Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Balfate Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:45 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Playa Caimito Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Tapuli Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Makaraipaho Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Castilletes Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Karasua Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:15 Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Miranda Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Betulia Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:00 Dapat Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Arroyo Hondo Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Coneja Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:00 Colorado Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:00 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:00 Cuero Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:00 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Farallones Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 02:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 San Juan Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Tela Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Barra de Chapagua Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Playa de Tasajera Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:30 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:30 Uhi Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:30 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Amaiquiro Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:30 Canapo Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Baranca Belize  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:15 Claura Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:15 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:15 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:45 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:45 Kanko Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:30 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:30 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 02:30 Fruta de Pan Nicaragua  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:30 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 El Pajaro Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:30 Shichepeho Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Caserio Pescadores Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Saraguama Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 El Tigre Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Barra Ulua Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Rio Tinto Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
25 Oct 2020 02:30 El Bluff Nicaragua  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:45 Iriona Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:45 La Puerta Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:00 El Cabo Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:30 Oak Grove United States  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:30 Grand Chenier United States  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Champoton Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Huattapo Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:15 Manaure Viejo Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:00 Punta Guamachito Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:00 Camarones Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:30 Cameron United States  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:00 Caracubana Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:00 Antunez Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:00 Yuquique Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:00 Santa Clara Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:00 El Suite Venezuela  0.1
25 Oct 2020 02:30 Caserio Taroa Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 02:30 Maasichi Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 02:30 Puerto Chimare Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 02:30 Puerto Estrella Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:15 Majahual Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:30 Jucaro Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 04:30 Holly Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Flamingo United States  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:45 El Urraco Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:45 Nueva Gerona Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:45 Presidio Modelo Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 03:00 La Enea Colombia  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:15 Canco Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:00 Constance Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Chacmuchuch Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Cancun Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Puerto Juarez Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 02:00 El Toro Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Tayabacoa Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 06:00 Tunas de Zaza Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:30 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:30 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:30 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:30 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:30 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:15 Santa Fe Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:15 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:15 Pital Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:15 Empalme Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 01:15 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
25 Oct 2020 05:15 Maya Beach Belize  0.1