Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
19 Jan 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (19 Jan 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.2 m 560 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 76 km/h 0.3 m 785 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jan 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jan 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Jan 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Jan 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Jan 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPapua New Guinea, Australia17,023
+
Papua New Guinea03 
Australia17,020 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia91,348
+
Indonesia29,152 
Papua New Guinea4,936 
Australia57,260 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia386,434
+
Indonesia75,527 
Papua New Guinea159,333 
Australia151,574 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jan 2021 12:00 16 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jan 2021 00:00 19 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 20 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Jan 2021 00:00 17 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Jan 2021 12:00 15 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Jan 2021 00:00 560 110 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Coolbie, Australia. This height is estimated for 19 Jan 2021 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Jan 2021 04:45 Coolbie Australia  0.2
19 Jan 2021 04:45 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 05:30 Halifax Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 05:30 Cassady Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 05:30 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 05:30 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 07:00 Innisfail Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 06:15 Cardwell Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 05:00 Lucinda Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 06:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 06:00 Kinduro Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 06:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 10:30 Deeral Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 10:30 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 10:00 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 10:00 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 10:00 Townsville Australia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 10:00 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
19 Jan 2021 08:45 Karumba Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 05:30 Cluden Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 05:30 Oolbun Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 01:30 Alva Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Mossman Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Miallo Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Wonga Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Port Douglas Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Hockley Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:00 Saibai Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 16:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 22:00 Tamarike Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 22:00 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 22:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 11:15 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 22:00 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 22:00 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 11:15 Cairns Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 11:15 Kamma Australia  0.1
21 Jan 2021 10:00 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Jan 2021 10:00 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Jan 2021 10:00 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Jan 2021 10:00 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Jan 2021 10:00 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Jan 2021 10:00 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Jan 2021 19:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 19:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 19:00 Conway Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 19:00 Midgeton Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 04:00 Rita Island Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 03:45 Carstairs Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 03:45 Jarvisfield Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Freshwater Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Stratford Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Woree Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:15 Edge Hill Australia  0.1
21 Jan 2021 22:15 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
21 Jan 2021 22:15 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
21 Jan 2021 22:15 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
21 Jan 2021 22:15 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
21 Jan 2021 22:15 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 05:30 Dauan Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 22:15 Matara Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 22:15 Urum Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 22:15 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 22:15 Daub Indonesia  0.1