Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
18 Jan 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (20 Jan 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.2 m 23 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 122 km/h 0.2 m 805 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jan 2021 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jan 2021 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jan 2021 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPapua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia10,718
+
Indonesia147 
Papua New Guinea10,447 
Australia124 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia471,242
+
Indonesia44,566 
Papua New Guinea343,099 
Australia83,577 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 13 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 34 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jan 2021 06:00 32 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jan 2021 12:00 31 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jan 2021 18:00 352 10 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Sidabadu, Papua New Guinea. This height is estimated for 20 Jan 2021 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Jan 2021 18:45 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.2
20 Jan 2021 18:45 Saibai Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 18:45 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.2
20 Jan 2021 18:45 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.2
20 Jan 2021 18:45 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.2
20 Jan 2021 18:30 Dauan Australia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 04:00 Coolbie Australia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 04:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 04:15 Halifax Australia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 04:15 Cassady Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 18:15 Boigu Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 18:15 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.2
18 Jan 2021 18:30 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 18:30 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 18:30 Townsville Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 18:30 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 18:15 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Jan 2021 04:45 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 04:45 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 04:45 Kinduro Australia  0.2
19 Jan 2021 07:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
21 Jan 2021 04:30 Lucinda Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 16:30 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.2
18 Jan 2021 23:45 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:45 Tamarike Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:45 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 06:45 Karumba Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 19:30 Cardwell Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:45 Kumbe Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:45 Anansai Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:45 Wendu Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:45 Matara Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:45 Urum Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:45 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:30 Daub Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 20:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:30 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 01:00 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 01:00 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 05:00 Heits Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:45 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Jan 2021 10:15 South Mission Beach Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 01:15 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:30 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:30 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
21 Jan 2021 07:00 Carmila Australia  0.1
21 Jan 2021 07:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:30 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 18:00 Oolbun Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 18:45 Cluden Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Welab Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1