Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-21
in Philippines
15 May 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 40 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 May 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 40 km/h 0.2 m 180 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 40 km/h 0.3 m 180 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

40 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 May 2021 00:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 May 2021 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 May 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 May 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 May 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 14 May 2021 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 May 2021 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMalaysia, Philippines46,615
+
Philippines6,173 
Malaysia40,441 
50-100 mmPhilippines, Palau, Malaysia1,339,543
+
Philippines986,607 
Palau21,052 
Malaysia331,883 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 May 2021 00:00 100 -
- - - - - Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 2 12 May 2021 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 May 2021 00:00 220 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 13 May 2021 12:00 117 20 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 5 14 May 2021 00:00 138 360 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 6 14 May 2021 12:00 102 9 thousand
- - - - Malaysia
Blue 7 15 May 2021 00:00 180 50 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Palau, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Pag-aguasan, Philippines. This height is estimated for 16 May 2021 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 May 2021 03:45 Pag-aguasan Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Concepcion Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Alabat Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Mascarina Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Apad Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Gumaca Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Argosino Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Lopez Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Talingting Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Calauag Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Atimonan Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 03:45 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.2
15 May 2021 05:15 Sipitang Malaysia  0.2
15 May 2021 05:15 Kampong Suasa Malaysia  0.2
15 May 2021 05:15 Mesapol Malaysia  0.2
15 May 2021 05:15 Weston Malaysia  0.2
17 May 2021 00:30 Perez Philippines  0.2
17 May 2021 00:30 Cavilla Philippines  0.2
17 May 2021 00:30 San Jose Philippines  0.2
15 May 2021 05:30 Victoria Malaysia  0.2
15 May 2021 05:30 Kpg Menumbok Malaysia  0.2
15 May 2021 05:30 Kampong Lambidan Malaysia  0.2
15 May 2021 05:30 Kpg Manggis Malaysia  0.2
16 May 2021 04:00 Kumbatang Malaysia  0.2
16 May 2021 04:00 Langkon Malaysia  0.2
16 May 2021 04:00 Kampong Radus Malaysia  0.2
16 May 2021 04:00 Tandek Malaysia  0.2
16 May 2021 04:00 Taritapan Malaysia  0.2
16 May 2021 04:00 Kpg Mempakad Malaysia  0.2
17 May 2021 00:30 Calamias Philippines  0.2
15 May 2021 05:45 Kpg Ganggarak Malaysia  0.2
16 May 2021 07:30 Mauban Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 06:00 Kpg Mansud Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:00 Kudat Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 10:00 Mandurriao Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:00 Iloilo Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:00 Jordan Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:00 Jaro Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:00 Avila Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:00 Valencia Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:00 Talisay Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Bebeladan Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 El Nido Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Camago Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Manlalec Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Barotuan Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Oton Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Palalong Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Sibaltan Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Maytiguid Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Batas Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Pinamalayan Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 04:00 Telaga Malaysia  0.1
17 May 2021 02:15 Paracale Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 02:15 Vinzons Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 02:15 Daet Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 02:15 Talaga Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 02:15 Tagontong Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 02:15 Mambongalon Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 03:45 Kampong Madang Pimping Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 03:45 Bongawan Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 03:45 Kimania Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 03:45 Kampong Java Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 03:45 Papar Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 06:00 Pekan Muara Brunei Darussalam  0.1
16 May 2021 08:15 Kuala Penyu Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 08:15 Binsulok Malaysia  0.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Casian Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Bago Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Pangi Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Pequeno Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Davao Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Kumonal Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Lasang Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Limao Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Panabo Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Basao Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Samal Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Tagbitanag Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Aumbay Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 13:00 Barana Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 13:00 Miguel Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 03:45 Berungus Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 03:30 Loro Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 18:45 Capuluan Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 18:45 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 18:45 Hiwasayan Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 18:45 Tagkawayan Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 18:45 Catabanga Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 15:00 Pandan Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 15:00 Dipnay Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 15:00 Calibangbangan Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Hiju Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Pandasan Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Maco Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Tibagon Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 10:30 Pantukan Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 08:00 Bundu Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 08:00 Kampong Kekansa Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 02:15 Taytay Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 02:15 Igan Barrio Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 02:15 San Jose Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 02:15 Calauag Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 02:15 Bantulan Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 02:15 Culasian Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 00:30 Caluekan Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 04:30 Damaloguen Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 04:30 Bugallon Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 04:30 Baloboc Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 04:30 Maniboc Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 04:30 Binmale Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 04:30 Canaoalan Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 04:30 Carael Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 04:30 Dagupan Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 04:30 Bateng Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 04:30 Alacan Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 08:30 Anilao Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 08:30 Banate Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 08:30 Barotac Viejo Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 08:30 Silay Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 09:30 Barcelona Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 09:30 Pulupandan Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 23:45 Pancol Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 23:45 Palarican Philippines  0.1