Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-21
in Philippines
14 May 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 43 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 May 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 43 km/h 0.3 m 41 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 40 km/h 0.6 m 102 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

40 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 May 2021 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 May 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 May 2021 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 May 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 May 2021 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 14 May 2021 00:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 May 2021 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 May 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPhilippines, Malaysia55,156
+
Philippines46,980 
Malaysia8,176 
50-100 mmPhilippines, Malaysia226,862
+
Philippines153,302 
Malaysia73,560 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 May 2021 18:00 276 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 May 2021 00:00 163 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 3 13 May 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 May 2021 12:00 169 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 5 13 May 2021 18:00 113 2 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 6 14 May 2021 00:00 115 9 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 7 14 May 2021 06:00 177 150 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 8 14 May 2021 12:00 454 60 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Pag-aguasan, Philippines. This height is estimated for 14 May 2021 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 May 2021 17:45 Pag-aguasan Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Concepcion Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Alabat Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Mascarina Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Apad Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Gumaca Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Argosino Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Lopez Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Talingting Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Calauag Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Atimonan Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:45 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:30 Perez Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:30 Cavilla Philippines  0.3
14 May 2021 17:30 San Jose Philippines  0.2
14 May 2021 17:45 Calamias Philippines  0.2
14 May 2021 17:45 Mauban Philippines  0.2
14 May 2021 23:45 Paracale Philippines  0.2
14 May 2021 23:45 Vinzons Philippines  0.2
14 May 2021 23:45 Daet Philippines  0.2
14 May 2021 23:45 Talaga Philippines  0.2
14 May 2021 23:45 Tagontong Philippines  0.2
14 May 2021 23:45 Mambongalon Philippines  0.2
14 May 2021 14:30 Bonongan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 14:30 Carigmalan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 14:30 Molpok Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 14:30 Bataguanan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 14:30 Bulalacao Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 23:00 Mandurriao Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 23:00 Iloilo Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 23:00 Jordan Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 23:00 Jaro Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 23:00 Avila Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 23:00 Valencia Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 23:00 Talisay Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 00:00 Barana Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 00:00 Miguel Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Tarawaken Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Malaka Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Bakung Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Mandao Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Fundado Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Karigsa Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Calabanga Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Magtang Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Lamon Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Union Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Tinambac Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Bebeladan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 El Nido Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Camago Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Manlalec Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Barotuan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Oton Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Palalong Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Sibaltan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Maytiguid Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Batas Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Pinamalayan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 17:45 Caluekan Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 08:30 Kumbatang Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 08:30 Langkon Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 08:30 Kampong Radus Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 08:30 Tandek Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 08:30 Taritapan Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 08:30 Kpg Mempakad Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 00:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 00:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 00:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Casian Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Sipitang Malaysia  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Kampong Suasa Malaysia  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Mesapol Malaysia  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Weston Malaysia  0.1
14 May 2021 20:15 Kudat Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:00 Kampong Madang Pimping Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:00 Bongawan Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:00 Kimania Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:00 Kampong Java Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:00 Papar Malaysia  0.1
14 May 2021 13:00 Kuala Penyu Malaysia  0.1
14 May 2021 13:00 Binsulok Malaysia  0.1
14 May 2021 23:45 Santa Maria Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 23:45 Zamboanga Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 23:45 Boalan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 23:45 Culianan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 23:45 Masinloc Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 23:45 Tabtabon Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 23:45 Manicahan Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 23:45 Bolong Philippines  0.1
14 May 2021 23:45 Cocob Philippines  0.1