Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21
in India, Pakistan
18 May 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.1 m (18 May 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 94 km/h 3.1 m 324 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 122 km/h 3.1 m 1400 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

Up to 9.7 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia9,664,483 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 May 2021 12:00 65 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 14 May 2021 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, India, Maldives
GREEN 3 14 May 2021 12:00 94 -
- - - - - India, Maldives
GREEN 4 15 May 2021 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 15 May 2021 12:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 16 May 2021 00:00 151 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 16 May 2021 12:00 180 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 8 17 May 2021 00:00 166 -
- - - - - India
ORANGE 9 17 May 2021 12:00 162 4 thousand
- - - - India
GREEN 10 18 May 2021 00:00 94 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia386,196 
100-250 mmIndia, China, Nepal100,504,519
+
China90 
India97,935,315 
Nepal2,569,113 
50-100 mmChina, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka163,051,047
+
China12,943 
India159,670,363 
Nepal3,284,856 
Sri Lanka82,884 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 May 2021 12:00 345 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 14 May 2021 00:00 332 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 14 May 2021 12:00 460 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 15 May 2021 00:00 869 Few people
- - - - India
Blue 5 15 May 2021 12:00 352 620 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 16 May 2021 00:00 380 80 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 7 16 May 2021 12:00 421 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 8 17 May 2021 00:00 303 2 million
- - - - India
Blue 9 17 May 2021 12:00 268 21.6 million
- - - - India
Blue 10 18 May 2021 00:00 324 100.9 million
- - - China, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

3.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.1m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 May 2021 02:00 Wadgam India  3.1
18 May 2021 02:00 Kambhat India  3.1
18 May 2021 02:45 Kavi India  3.0
18 May 2021 02:45 Sarod India  3.0
18 May 2021 02:15 Tankari India  3.0
18 May 2021 01:15 Ghogha India  3.0
18 May 2021 01:15 Asarsa India  2.9
18 May 2021 01:00 Harinagar India  2.9
18 May 2021 01:00 Dahej India  2.8
18 May 2021 01:00 Muler India  2.8
18 May 2021 00:30 Hansot India  2.6
18 May 2021 00:00 Bhagva India  2.3
18 May 2021 00:00 Damka India  2.2
18 May 2021 00:00 Olpad India  2.2
18 May 2021 00:00 Kotada India  2.1
18 May 2021 00:00 Surat India  1.8
18 May 2021 00:00 Jalalpur India  1.8
18 May 2021 00:00 Mahuver India  1.8
18 May 2021 00:00 Mahuva India  1.7
18 May 2021 00:00 Nausari India  1.5
18 May 2021 00:00 Navsari India  1.5
18 May 2021 00:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  1.4
18 May 2021 00:00 Dharasana India  1.3
18 May 2021 00:00 Valsad India  1.3
18 May 2021 00:00 Bilimora India  1.2
18 May 2021 00:00 Udvada India  1.1
18 May 2021 00:00 Daman India  1.0
18 May 2021 00:00 Jafarabad India  1.0
18 May 2021 00:00 Maroli India  0.9
18 May 2021 00:00 Umbargam India  0.9
18 May 2021 00:00 Bordi India  0.8
18 May 2021 00:00 Gholvad India  0.8
18 May 2021 00:00 Malyan India  0.8
18 May 2021 00:00 Sakhare India  0.8
18 May 2021 00:00 Rohisa India  0.7
18 May 2021 00:00 Tarapur India  0.7
18 May 2021 00:00 Boisar India  0.7
18 May 2021 00:00 Dharabandar India  0.7
18 May 2021 00:00 Shirgaon India  0.6
18 May 2021 00:00 Palghar India  0.6
18 May 2021 00:00 Mahim India  0.6
18 May 2021 00:00 Delvada India  0.6
18 May 2021 00:00 Nawabandar India  0.6
18 May 2021 00:00 Agashi India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:00 Nalasopara India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:00 Dongri India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:00 Vasai India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:00 Navghar India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:30 Malad India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:30 Mumbai India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:30 Asumumbay India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:30 Uran India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:30 Trombay India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:30 Diva India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:30 Taloje India  0.5
18 May 2021 00:00 Dangarvadi India  0.4
18 May 2021 00:00 Mandve India  0.4
18 May 2021 00:00 Kotra Nes India  0.4
20 May 2021 19:30 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.4
20 May 2021 19:30 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.4
20 May 2021 19:30 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.4
20 May 2021 19:30 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.4
18 May 2021 00:00 Alibag India  0.3
18 May 2021 00:00 Kodinar India  0.3
20 May 2021 01:15 Akri India  0.3
18 May 2021 00:00 Revadanda India  0.3
20 May 2021 09:15 Ghuar Mota India  0.3
18 May 2021 00:45 Lodhwa India  0.3
21 May 2021 00:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.3
21 May 2021 00:00 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.3
20 May 2021 04:15 New Kandla India  0.3
20 May 2021 04:15 Navlakhi India  0.3
18 May 2021 00:00 Murud India  0.3
18 May 2021 11:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.3
21 May 2021 00:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.3
21 May 2021 00:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.3
20 May 2021 04:15 Tuna India  0.3
21 May 2021 00:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.3
20 May 2021 04:45 Jodiya India  0.3
18 May 2021 00:45 Sutrapada India  0.3
20 May 2021 04:30 Jambura India  0.3
18 May 2021 00:45 Somnath India  0.2
18 May 2021 01:00 Veraval India  0.2
20 May 2021 04:15 Mundra India  0.2
20 May 2021 04:00 Jhankhar India  0.2
20 May 2021 04:00 Sika India  0.2
20 May 2021 22:45 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
18 May 2021 10:30 Bankot India  0.2
18 May 2021 10:30 Kelshi India  0.2
18 May 2021 10:45 Srivardhan India  0.2
20 May 2021 04:30 Navinal India  0.2
18 May 2021 01:15 Chorwad India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:00 Chudeswar India  0.2
20 May 2021 04:00 Salaya India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:15 Aramda India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:00 Mandvi India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:00 Bhadia India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:00 Suthri India  0.2
19 May 2021 15:45 Gadechi India  0.2
19 May 2021 15:45 Okha India  0.2
18 May 2021 15:30 Mangrol India  0.2
18 May 2021 19:00 Shil India  0.2
18 May 2021 10:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
20 May 2021 21:15 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.2
18 May 2021 10:15 Guhagar India  0.2
18 May 2021 19:15 Gorser India  0.2
18 May 2021 15:30 Ratia India  0.2
20 May 2021 21:15 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.2
18 May 2021 09:30 Boria India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:15 Dwarka India  0.2
20 May 2021 21:45 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.2
19 May 2021 07:30 Adodar India  0.2
18 May 2021 09:15 Jaigarh India  0.2
19 May 2021 08:15 Porbandar India  0.2
18 May 2021 03:45 Mirya India  0.2
18 May 2021 03:45 Ratnagiri India  0.2
19 May 2021 08:15 Miyani India  0.2
19 May 2021 08:30 Lamba India  0.2
20 May 2021 15:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
20 May 2021 15:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
20 May 2021 16:00 Atirampattinam India  0.1
19 May 2021 15:15 Madhi India  0.1
20 May 2021 22:00 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.1
20 May 2021 15:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
19 May 2021 14:45 Bhogat India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:00 Kodigeri India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:00 Vedaranyam India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Nizampatam India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Kottapalem India  0.1
19 May 2021 03:15 Karwar India  0.1
19 May 2021 03:15 Belekeri India  0.1
19 May 2021 03:15 Ankola India  0.1
19 May 2021 03:15 Gokarn India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:15 Keti Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 04:30 Purnagad India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 16:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 04:15 Vengurla India  0.1
18 May 2021 04:15 Terekhol India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 04:45 Purangad India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:30 Kattumavadi India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 06:00 Mavalli India  0.1
18 May 2021 06:00 Shirali India  0.1
18 May 2021 06:00 Bhatkal India  0.1
18 May 2021 06:00 Bainduru India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:45 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:45 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 04:30 Adiura India  0.1
18 May 2021 06:15 Chittadi India  0.1
18 May 2021 06:15 Honavar India  0.1
18 May 2021 06:15 Manki India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:30 Chopdem India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:30 Anjuna India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:30 Marmagao India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:30 Panaji India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:15 Agacaim India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:15 Madgaon India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:30 Manamelkudi India  0.1
20 May 2021 15:30 Brar Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:00 Kundapura India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:45 Kumta India  0.1
20 May 2021 11:00 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.1
18 May 2021 04:30 Vijayadurg India  0.1
18 May 2021 16:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
18 May 2021 10:45 Udipi India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Pentakota India  0.1
20 May 2021 15:15 Kottapatnam India  0.1
20 May 2021 11:00 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.1
20 May 2021 17:15 Ammapatam India  0.1
18 May 2021 04:30 Pural India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:45 Advota India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:45 Chaudi India  0.1
18 May 2021 11:45 Majali India  0.1
20 May 2021 11:45 Melmandai India  0.1
20 May 2021 11:45 Vembar India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Peddapatnam India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Gollapalem India  0.1
18 May 2021 15:45 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 15:45 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 05:15 Devgarh India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Kakinada India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:15 Tis Iran  0.1
20 May 2021 16:15 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
20 May 2021 16:15 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Akara Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:15 Ullapalem India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:15 Pakala India  0.1
18 May 2021 04:45 Achra India  0.1
20 May 2021 15:30 Malan Pakistan  0.1