Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21
in India, Pakistan
17 May 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries China, India, Nepal
Exposed population 1.3 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 191 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.5 m (17 May 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 191 km/h 2.5 m 293 mm 2.5
HWRF Overall 223 km/h 2.5 m 1057 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

223 km/h

Up to 1.3 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3India47 
CAT. 2India108,175 
CAT. 1India1,218,900 
Tropical StormChina, India, Nepal42,304,132
+
China3,183 
India42,299,694 
Nepal1,254 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 May 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 May 2021 12:00 101 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 14 May 2021 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 May 2021 00:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 15 May 2021 06:00 119 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 15 May 2021 12:00 133 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 15 May 2021 18:00 158 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 8 16 May 2021 00:00 187 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 9 16 May 2021 06:00 176 50 thousand
- - - - India
RED 10 16 May 2021 12:00 212 250 thousand
- - - - India
GREEN 11 16 May 2021 18:00 223 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 12 17 May 2021 00:00 220 -
- - - - - India
RED 13 17 May 2021 06:00 220 1.4 million
- - - India
RED 14 17 May 2021 12:00 202 170 thousand
- - - India
RED 15 17 May 2021 18:00 191 1.3 million
- - China, India, Nepal
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia5,702,482 
100-250 mmIndia, China, Nepal76,948,336
+
India76,667,349 
China19 
Nepal280,966 
50-100 mmIndia, China, Nepal63,951,392
+
India62,753,618 
China78 
Nepal1,197,696 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 May 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 May 2021 12:00 372 10 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 14 May 2021 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 May 2021 00:00 387 420 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 15 May 2021 06:00 546 Few people
- - - - India
Blue 6 15 May 2021 12:00 270 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 7 15 May 2021 18:00 241 8 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 8 16 May 2021 00:00 288 9 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 9 16 May 2021 06:00 238 6 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 10 16 May 2021 12:00 335 210 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 11 16 May 2021 18:00 346 490 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 12 17 May 2021 00:00 286 210 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 13 17 May 2021 06:00 286 210 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 14 17 May 2021 12:00 388 1.2 million
- - - - India
Blue 15 17 May 2021 18:00 423 82.7 million
- - - India, China, Nepal




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

2.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.5m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 May 2021 19:15 Wadgam India  2.5
17 May 2021 19:30 Kambhat India  2.5
17 May 2021 19:30 Kavi India  2.5
17 May 2021 19:30 Sarod India  2.5
17 May 2021 19:30 Tankari India  2.4
17 May 2021 18:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  2.3
17 May 2021 18:00 Mahuva India  2.3
17 May 2021 18:00 Kotada India  2.3
17 May 2021 18:00 Asarsa India  2.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Harinagar India  2.1
17 May 2021 18:00 Ghogha India  2.1
17 May 2021 18:00 Dahej India  2.1
17 May 2021 18:00 Muler India  2.1
17 May 2021 18:00 Jafarabad India  2.0
17 May 2021 22:30 Hansot India  1.9
17 May 2021 21:45 Bhagva India  1.7
17 May 2021 21:30 Damka India  1.6
17 May 2021 21:45 Olpad India  1.6
17 May 2021 19:45 Surat India  1.5
17 May 2021 19:45 Jalalpur India  1.5
17 May 2021 19:45 Mahuver India  1.5
17 May 2021 18:00 Rohisa India  1.5
17 May 2021 18:00 Dharabandar India  1.4
17 May 2021 20:15 Nausari India  1.4
17 May 2021 20:15 Navsari India  1.4
17 May 2021 20:00 Dharasana India  1.2
17 May 2021 20:00 Valsad India  1.2
17 May 2021 20:00 Bilimora India  1.2
17 May 2021 19:45 Udvada India  1.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Daman India  1.0
17 May 2021 19:00 Maroli India  1.0
17 May 2021 19:15 Umbargam India  0.9
17 May 2021 19:30 Bordi India  0.9
17 May 2021 20:00 Gholvad India  0.8
17 May 2021 20:00 Malyan India  0.8
17 May 2021 18:00 Delvada India  0.8
17 May 2021 18:00 Nawabandar India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:45 Nalasopara India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:45 Agashi India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:45 Dongri India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:45 Vasai India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:45 Navghar India  0.8
17 May 2021 20:15 Sakhare India  0.8
17 May 2021 20:15 Tarapur India  0.8
17 May 2021 20:15 Boisar India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:45 Shirgaon India  0.7
17 May 2021 19:45 Palghar India  0.7
17 May 2021 19:45 Mahim India  0.7
17 May 2021 19:30 Malad India  0.7
17 May 2021 19:30 Trombay India  0.7
17 May 2021 23:00 Dangarvadi India  0.6
17 May 2021 19:45 Mumbai India  0.6
17 May 2021 19:45 Asumumbay India  0.6
17 May 2021 23:00 Kotra Nes India  0.5
17 May 2021 19:45 Uran India  0.5
17 May 2021 19:45 Mandve India  0.5
17 May 2021 20:00 Taloje India  0.5
17 May 2021 21:30 Diva India  0.5
17 May 2021 23:30 Kodinar India  0.4
17 May 2021 20:15 Alibag India  0.4
17 May 2021 20:15 Murud India  0.4
17 May 2021 20:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
17 May 2021 22:45 Lodhwa India  0.4
17 May 2021 19:45 Revadanda India  0.4
17 May 2021 20:00 Srivardhan India  0.4
17 May 2021 22:45 Sutrapada India  0.4
17 May 2021 20:00 Bankot India  0.3
17 May 2021 20:00 Kelshi India  0.3
17 May 2021 22:30 Veraval India  0.3
17 May 2021 22:30 Somnath India  0.3
17 May 2021 19:45 Anjanwel India  0.3
17 May 2021 22:30 Chorwad India  0.3
17 May 2021 20:00 Guhagar India  0.3
17 May 2021 20:15 Boria India  0.3
17 May 2021 19:00 Jaigarh India  0.3
17 May 2021 19:00 Mirya India  0.3
17 May 2021 19:00 Ratnagiri India  0.3
17 May 2021 21:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:45 Salaya India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:15 Mangrol India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:15 Shil India  0.2
17 May 2021 20:00 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.2
17 May 2021 20:00 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.2
17 May 2021 20:00 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.2
17 May 2021 20:00 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.2
17 May 2021 21:30 Jhankhar India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:45 Gorser India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:45 Ratia India  0.2
17 May 2021 19:00 Purangad India  0.2
17 May 2021 19:00 Purnagad India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Miyani India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:00 Jambura India  0.2
17 May 2021 19:00 Adiura India  0.2
17 May 2021 23:00 Karwar India  0.2
17 May 2021 23:00 Belekeri India  0.2
17 May 2021 23:00 Ankola India  0.2
17 May 2021 23:00 Gokarn India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Porbandar India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Lamba India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:15 Sika India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:45 Aramda India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:45 Vijayadurg India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:45 Pural India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:30 Gadechi India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:30 Okha India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:45 Devgarh India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Malvan India  0.2
17 May 2021 19:15 Kumta India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Adodar India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:45 Vengurla India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:45 Terekhol India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Marmagao India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Panaji India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Agacaim India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:00 Madgaon India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:15 Bhogat India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:30 Madhi India  0.2
17 May 2021 19:15 Honavar India  0.2
17 May 2021 20:45 Chittadi India  0.2
17 May 2021 20:45 Kundapura India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:15 Achra India  0.2
17 May 2021 19:30 Manki India  0.2
17 May 2021 20:15 Jodiya India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:15 Mundra India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:45 Dwarka India  0.2
17 May 2021 19:00 Advota India  0.1
17 May 2021 19:00 Chaudi India  0.1
17 May 2021 19:00 Majali India  0.1
17 May 2021 19:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
17 May 2021 21:00 Navinal India  0.1
17 May 2021 21:45 Chopdem India  0.1
17 May 2021 21:45 Anjuna India  0.1
17 May 2021 19:45 Mavalli India  0.1
17 May 2021 19:45 Shirali India  0.1
17 May 2021 19:45 Bhatkal India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:00 Tuna India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:00 New Kandla India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:45 Bainduru India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:45 Udipi India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:45 Bhadia India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:15 Navlakhi India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:30 Mandvi India  0.1
17 May 2021 23:45 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2021 23:45 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2021 23:45 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2021 23:45 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.1
18 May 2021 00:00 Akri India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:30 Mulki India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:15 Suthri India  0.1
17 May 2021 18:00 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
17 May 2021 20:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:15 Kumbla India  0.1
17 May 2021 18:15 Keti Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 00:00 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
17 May 2021 22:00 Had Oman  0.1
18 May 2021 00:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.1