Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
19 Jul 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (22 Jul 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.3 m 207 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.4 m 748 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 00:00 - Few people
United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Jul 2021 00:00 - -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 16 Jul 2021 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 17 Jul 2021 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 17 Jul 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 18 Jul 2021 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 18 Jul 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 19 Jul 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Jul 2021 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmUnited States29,753 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2021 12:00 291 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 12:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 316 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Jul 2021 00:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Jul 2021 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 17 Jul 2021 00:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 17 Jul 2021 12:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 18 Jul 2021 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 18 Jul 2021 12:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 19 Jul 2021 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Jul 2021 12:00 460 -
- - - - - United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Perihuete, Mexico. This height is estimated for 22 Jul 2021 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Dimas Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 03:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 03:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.3
20 Jul 2021 18:30 Marmol Mexico  0.3
20 Jul 2021 18:30 Florida Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.3
20 Jul 2021 23:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 04:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Cunano Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Olowalu United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Maalaea United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Waihee United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Hyashi Village United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Wailuku United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Kahului United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Kihei United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Puunene United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Keawakapu United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Village Eight United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Makena United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Hawaiian Village United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Ulupalakua United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Paia United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Haiku United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Pauwela United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 04:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 11:00 Kaanapali United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 11:00 Puukolii United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 11:00 Lahaina United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 11:00 Crater Village United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 02:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 19:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 21:00 Keoneoio United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:15 El Tule Mexico  0.2
21 Jul 2021 11:00 Kahakuloa United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 04:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 10:15 Pukoo United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 10:15 Waialua United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 10:15 Halawa United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 10:30 Honokahua United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 10:30 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.2
20 Jul 2021 10:30 Kapalua United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:30 La Tinaja Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 10:15 Ulumalu United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 09:45 Ninole United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 09:45 Hakalau United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 09:45 Honomu United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 09:45 Pepeekeo United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 09:45 Wainaku United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 09:45 Papaikou United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 09:45 Paukaa United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 09:45 Hilo United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:30 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
22 Jul 2021 11:00 Laupahoehoe United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 11:00 Papaaloa United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 11:00 Weloka United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 00:45 Kukuihaele United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 00:45 Honokaa United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 00:45 Paauilo United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 00:45 Kukaiau United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 00:45 Ookala United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 06:00 Kailua United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 06:00 Wailua United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 06:00 Nahiku United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 06:00 Kaeleku United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 06:00 Hana United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:45 Mahukona United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:45 Hawi United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:45 Kapaau United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:45 Halaula United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:45 Makapala United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:45 Niulii United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:30 Mahaiula United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:30 Kaupulehu United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:30 Kiholo United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:30 Weliweli United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:30 Anaehoomalu United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:30 Puako United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:30 Waikoloa Village United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:30 Kawaihae United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 12:15 Hawaiian Paradise Park United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 12:15 Makuu United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 12:15 Hawaiian Beaches United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 12:15 Opihikao United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 12:15 Pohoiki United States  0.1
19 Jul 2021 12:15 Koae United States  0.1
22 Jul 2021 10:30 Waipio United States  0.1