Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
21 Jul 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico, United States
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (22 Jul 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.4 m 748 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.4 m 748 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

58 km/h

Up to 1 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 5Mexico, United States135
+
Mexico32 
United States103 
CAT. 4Mexico, United States08
+
Mexico01 
United States07 
CAT. 3Mexico, United States00
+
CAT. 2United States02 
CAT. 1United States20 
Tropical StormUnited States1,310 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 00:00 - Few people
United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Jul 2021 00:00 - -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 16 Jul 2021 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 17 Jul 2021 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 17 Jul 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 18 Jul 2021 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 18 Jul 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 19 Jul 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Jul 2021 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Jul 2021 00:00 - Few people
- - -
United States
GREEN 15 20 Jul 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 21 Jul 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 21 Jul 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States111,928 
50-100 mmMexico, United States67,988
+
Mexico32 
United States67,956 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2021 12:00 291 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 12:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 316 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Jul 2021 00:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Jul 2021 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 17 Jul 2021 00:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 17 Jul 2021 12:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 18 Jul 2021 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 18 Jul 2021 12:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 19 Jul 2021 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Jul 2021 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 20 Jul 2021 00:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 20 Jul 2021 12:00 306 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 21 Jul 2021 00:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 21 Jul 2021 12:00 410 -
- - - - - United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Perihuete, Mexico. This height is estimated for 22 Jul 2021 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico, United States15,432
+
Mexico5,356 
United States10,075 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.4
22 Jul 2021 04:00 Dimas Mexico  0.4
22 Jul 2021 03:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 03:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.3
23 Jul 2021 16:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.3
23 Jul 2021 16:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.3
23 Jul 2021 16:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 03:45 Marmol Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 03:45 Florida Mexico  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Olowalu United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Kahakuloa United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Waihee United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Hyashi Village United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Wailuku United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Kahului United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Puunene United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Village Eight United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Hawaiian Village United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Paia United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Haiku United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 19:15 Pauwela United States  0.3
22 Jul 2021 03:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 03:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.3
22 Jul 2021 03:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.3
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Kaanapali United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Puukolii United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Lahaina United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Crater Village United States  0.3
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Maalaea United States  0.3
20 Jul 2021 23:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.3
23 Jul 2021 22:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
23 Jul 2021 22:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
23 Jul 2021 22:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Honokahua United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Kapalua United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 19:45 Kihei United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 19:45 Keawakapu United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 19:45 Makena United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 19:45 Ulupalakua United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Pukoo United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:30 Cunano Mexico  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:15 Keoneoio United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Waialua United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Halawa United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 17:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
23 Jul 2021 17:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 19:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 10:15 Ulumalu United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:30 La Tinaja Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:15 El Tule Mexico  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Laupahoehoe United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Papaaloa United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Weloka United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Ninole United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Hakalau United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Honomu United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Pepeekeo United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Wainaku United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Papaikou United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Paukaa United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Hilo United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.2
22 Jul 2021 06:00 Kailua United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 06:00 Wailua United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 06:00 Nahiku United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 06:00 Kaeleku United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 06:00 Hana United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 03:30 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.2
23 Jul 2021 23:00 Hawaiian Paradise Park United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 23:00 Makuu United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 23:00 Hawaiian Beaches United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 23:00 Opihikao United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 23:00 Pohoiki United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 23:00 Koae United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:15 Kukuihaele United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:15 Honokaa United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:15 Paauilo United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:15 Kukaiau United States  0.2
23 Jul 2021 10:15 Ookala United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 19:45 Mahaiula United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 19:45 Kaupulehu United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 19:45 Kiholo United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 19:45 Weliweli United States  0.2
22 Jul 2021 19:45 Anaehoomalu United States  0.2
24 Jul 2021 00:45 Puako United States  0.1
24 Jul 2021 00:45 Waikoloa Village United States  0.1
24 Jul 2021 00:45 Kawaihae United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Mahukona United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Hawi United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Kapaau United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Halaula United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Makapala United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Niulii United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 14:15 Waipio United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 14:30 Kipahulu United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 14:30 Muolea United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 14:30 Haou United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 14:30 Puuiki United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 10:00 Kaupo United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Captain Cook United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Napoopao United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Honaunau United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Hookena United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Keokea United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Kealia United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Papa United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Sea View United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Keauhou United States  0.1
23 Jul 2021 09:45 Kahaluu United States  0.1