Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21
Off-shore
16 Jul 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 Jul 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 112 km/h 0.2 m 178 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.4 m 748 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Jul 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jul 2021 00:00 - Few people
United States
GREEN 3 14 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jul 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Jul 2021 00:00 - -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 16 Jul 2021 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmUnited States9,197 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Jul 2021 12:00 291 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jul 2021 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jul 2021 12:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jul 2021 00:00 316 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jul 2021 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Jul 2021 00:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Jul 2021 12:00 285 -
- - - - - United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Perihuete, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Jul 2021 19:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Jul 2021 19:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 19:45 Marmol Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 19:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 19:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 20:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 20:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Maalaea United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Kihei United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Keawakapu United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Makena United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Keoneoio United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Ulupalakua United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Olowalu United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Hyashi Village United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Puunene United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Village Eight United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 20:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 20:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 20:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Waihee United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Wailuku United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Kahului United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Hawaiian Village United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Paia United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Haiku United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Pauwela United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 19:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 20:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 20:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 20:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Kaanapali United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Puukolii United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Lahaina United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Crater Village United States  0.2
16 Jul 2021 19:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 19:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Honokahua United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Kapalua United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Kahakuloa United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 19:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 19:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 19:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 19:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2021 14:00 Pukoo United States  0.1
16 Jul 2021 18:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1