Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FELICIA-21 Off-shore from 14 Jul 2021 09:00 UTC to 21 Jul 2021 03:00 UTC

15 Jul 2021 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	133 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (15 Jul 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	133 km/h	0.1 m	176 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.3 m	562 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	14 Jul 2021 06:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Jul 2021 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	14 Jul 2021 18:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Jul 2021 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Jul 2021 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Jul 2021 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 Jul 2021 18:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

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Impact estimation for the next 72h

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N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	14 Jul 2021 06:00	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Jul 2021 12:00	138	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	14 Jul 2021 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Jul 2021 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Jul 2021 06:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Jul 2021 12:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 Jul 2021 18:00	371	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Maalaea, United States. This height is estimated for 15 Jul 2021 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Maalaea	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Kihei	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Keawakapu	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Makena	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Keoneoio	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Ulupalakua	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 18:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Olowalu	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Hyashi Village	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Puunene	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Village Eight	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Waihee	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Wailuku	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Kahului	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Hawaiian Village	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Paia	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Haiku	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Pauwela	United States	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 18:45	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 18:45	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	15 Jul 2021 23:00	Lahaina	United States	0.1