Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore
06 Aug 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (05 Aug 10:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 151 km/h 0.4 m 656 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.4 m 656 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 Jul 2021 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Aug 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Aug 2021 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Aug 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Aug 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Aug 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Aug 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Aug 2021 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Aug 2021 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Aug 2021 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Aug 2021 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Aug 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Aug 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 04 Aug 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 04 Aug 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Aug 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Aug 2021 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 05 Aug 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 05 Aug 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 05 Aug 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 05 Aug 2021 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 06 Aug 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 06 Aug 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 06 Aug 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 06 Aug 2021 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

656 mm

Up to 1 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico1,026,985 
50-100 mmMexico2,278,144 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 Jul 2021 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Aug 2021 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 01 Aug 2021 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Aug 2021 12:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Aug 2021 18:00 192 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Aug 2021 00:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Aug 2021 06:00 298 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Aug 2021 12:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Aug 2021 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Aug 2021 00:00 233 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Aug 2021 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Aug 2021 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Aug 2021 18:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 04 Aug 2021 00:00 121 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 19 04 Aug 2021 06:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Aug 2021 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Aug 2021 18:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 05 Aug 2021 00:00 128 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 23 05 Aug 2021 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 05 Aug 2021 12:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 05 Aug 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 06 Aug 2021 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 06 Aug 2021 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 06 Aug 2021 12:00 183 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 06 Aug 2021 18:00 347 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Santa Rosalia, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Aug 2021 10:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico35,248 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 10:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 10:45 San Jose Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 10:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Loreto Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Ligui Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Mulege Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Tripui Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 21:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 21:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Liliba Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2021 09:00 Datilito Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2021 09:00 La Paz Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2021 09:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2021 21:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 19:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 23:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 23:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 23:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 23:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 23:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 09:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 13:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 13:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 21:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2021 22:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 11:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 08:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 22:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 22:45 Quinones Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 20:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 08:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 08:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:00 Barron Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 08:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 08:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 08:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 08:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 08:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 22:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 08:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2021 03:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2021 13:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2021 21:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2021 22:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2021 22:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2021 22:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 22:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2021 10:45 Chamela Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2021 12:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2021 07:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2021 07:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2021 06:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2021 07:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 09:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 02:45 El Tule Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 02:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2021 21:15 Corrales Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2021 07:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1