Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KATE-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 202 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Sep 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 202 km/h 0.4 m 302 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 202 km/h 0.4 m 302 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Aug 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Aug 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Aug 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 29 Aug 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 29 Aug 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 30 Aug 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 30 Aug 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 31 Aug 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 31 Aug 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Sep 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Sep 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Sep 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Sep 2021 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

302 mm

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmGuadeloupe68,329 
50-100 mmCanada, Guadeloupe164,397
+
Canada15,700 
Guadeloupe148,696 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Aug 2021 12:00 53 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 Aug 2021 00:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 28 Aug 2021 12:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 29 Aug 2021 00:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 29 Aug 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 30 Aug 2021 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 30 Aug 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 31 Aug 2021 00:00 49 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 31 Aug 2021 12:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Sep 2021 00:00 106 -
- - - - - Guadeloupe
Blue 11 01 Sep 2021 12:00 44 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Sep 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Sep 2021 12:00 285 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Indian Harbour, Canada. This height is estimated for 02 Sep 2021 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mCanada7,361 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Sep 2021 17:00 Indian Harbour Canada  0.4
02 Sep 2021 17:00 Prospect Canada  0.4
02 Sep 2021 15:30 Moose River Canada  0.4
02 Sep 2021 15:30 Ecum Secum Canada  0.4
02 Sep 2021 15:30 Liscomb Canada  0.4
02 Sep 2021 22:30 Terence Bay Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 23:45 Sheet Harbour Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 23:45 Port Dufferin Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 15:30 Tangier Canada  0.3
03 Sep 2021 00:00 Sherbrooke Canada  0.3
03 Sep 2021 00:00 Sonora Canada  0.3
03 Sep 2021 00:00 Bickerton West Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 16:00 Halifax Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 16:00 Sambro Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 16:00 Dartmouth Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 16:00 Eastern Passage Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 16:00 Lawrencetown Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 12:45 Larry's River Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 12:45 Half Island Cove Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 12:45 Whitehead Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 23:45 Isaacs Harbour Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 23:45 Goldboro Canada  0.3
01 Sep 2021 12:45 Canso Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 22:45 Seaforth Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 22:45 East Chezzetcook Canada  0.3
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Ebenezer Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Runaway Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Creekside Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Dickenson Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Golden Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 John Hughes Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Falmouth Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Cobbs Cross Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 English Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Pares Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Betty's Hope Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Newfield Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Willikies Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
02 Sep 2021 12:00 Half Moon Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
03 Sep 2021 21:30 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.2
03 Sep 2021 21:30 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.2
03 Sep 2021 21:30 Anbre St. Lucia  0.2
03 Sep 2021 21:30 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:45 Five Islands Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:45 Jolly Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:45 Bolans Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:45 Jennings Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 West End Village Anguilla  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Lowlands Netherlands Antilles  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Sandy Ground Guadeloupe  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Marigot Guadeloupe  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Blowing Point Anguilla  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Koolbaai Netherlands Antilles  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Concordia Guadeloupe  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 St Louis Guadeloupe  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 The Valley Anguilla  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Fort Amsterdam Netherlands Antilles  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Dutch Cul de Sac Netherlands Antilles  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Grand Case Guadeloupe  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Colombier Guadeloupe  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Philipsburg Netherlands Antilles  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Orleans Guadeloupe  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Point Blanche Netherlands Antilles  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Anse Marcel Guadeloupe  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 French Cul de Sac Guadeloupe  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Green Cay Guadeloupe  0.2
31 Aug 2021 11:30 Lero Martinique  0.2
31 Aug 2021 11:30 Fonds Panier Martinique  0.2
31 Aug 2021 11:30 Hyacinthe Martinique  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Canyon St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Keys St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Charlestown St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Nelson's Spring St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Cotton Ground St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Jessup's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Westbury St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Fig Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Newcastle St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Fountain St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Taylors Pleasure St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Hanley's Road St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Hick's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Zion St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Brink Kiln St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 New River St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
31 Aug 2021 00:30 Butlers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.2
02 Sep 2021 08:15 Urlings Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
30 Aug 2021 20:45 Windward Side Netherlands Antilles  0.1
02 Sep 2021 09:00 Le Vauclin Martinique  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Old Town Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Olveston Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Elberton Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Saint Peter's Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Woodlands Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Salem Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Weekes Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Firth Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Cud Joe Head Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Davy Hill Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Plymouth Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Molyneaux Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Saint John's Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Windy Hill Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Lookout Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Blakes Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Tuitts Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Bramble Village Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Long Ground Montserrat  0.1
03 Sep 2021 07:15 Bethnal Montserrat  0.1
02 Sep 2021 10:00 Gustavia Guadeloupe  0.1
02 Sep 2021 19:30 Sainte-Anne Martinique  0.1
01 Sep 2021 07:00 La Pointe-Noire Guadeloupe  0.1
01 Sep 2021 07:00 Bas Vent Guadeloupe  0.1
01 Sep 2021 07:00 Baie-Mahault Guadeloupe  0.1
01 Sep 2021 07:00 Port-Louis Guadeloupe  0.1
02 Sep 2021 20:45 Capesterre Guadeloupe  0.1
02 Sep 2021 20:45 Pointe-a-Pitre Guadeloupe  0.1
02 Sep 2021 09:00 Saint-Louis Guadeloupe  0.1
02 Sep 2021 09:00 Grand-Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1
02 Sep 2021 09:00 Capesterre Guadeloupe  0.1
03 Sep 2021 06:30 Sainte-Anne Guadeloupe  0.1
03 Sep 2021 06:30 Moule Guadeloupe  0.1
03 Sep 2021 06:45 Castries St. Lucia  0.1
03 Sep 2021 06:45 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.1
03 Sep 2021 06:45 Les Anses dArlets Martinique  0.1
31 Aug 2021 00:45 Codrington Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
03 Sep 2021 06:45 Fort-de-France Martinique  0.1
03 Sep 2021 06:45 Sainte Pierre Martinique  0.1
04 Sep 2021 21:15 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1
03 Sep 2021 06:30 Basse-Terre Guadeloupe  0.1
03 Sep 2021 06:30 Saint-Claude Guadeloupe  0.1
03 Sep 2021 06:30 Le Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1
02 Sep 2021 08:45 Roseau Dominica  0.1
02 Sep 2021 08:45 Dubuc Dominica  0.1
02 Sep 2021 08:45 Marigot Dominica  0.1
02 Sep 2021 08:45 Castle Bruce Dominica  0.1
02 Sep 2021 08:45 La Plaine Dominica  0.1
03 Sep 2021 23:45 Challengers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
03 Sep 2021 23:45 Trinity St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
03 Sep 2021 23:45 Tabernacle St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
03 Sep 2021 23:45 Phillips St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
03 Sep 2021 23:45 Boyd's St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
03 Sep 2021 23:45 Mansion St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
03 Sep 2021 23:45 Molineux St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
03 Sep 2021 23:45 Lodge St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
03 Sep 2021 23:45 Ottley's St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
03 Sep 2021 23:45 Basseterre St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1