Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIAN-21
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIAN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Canada
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (29 Aug 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.7 m 69 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 1.3 m 132 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

72 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormCanada630 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 Aug 2021 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Canada
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 Aug 2021 12:00 252 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Bartletts Harbour, Canada. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Bartletts Harbour Canada  0.7
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Bird Cove Canada  0.7
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Saint Barbe Canada  0.7
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Great Brule Canada  0.5
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Spencers Cove Canada  0.5
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Come By Chance Canada  0.5
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Sunnyside Canada  0.5
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Chance Cove Canada  0.5
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Flower Cove Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Moreton's Harbour Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Summerford Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Birchy Bay Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Boyds Cove Canada  0.5
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Woody Island Canada  0.5
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Sound Island Canada  0.5
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Swift Current Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Grady Harbour Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 17:00 Ladle Cove Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 17:00 Musgrove Harbour Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Forteau Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 17:15 L' Anse-au-Loup Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Green Island Cove Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Herring Neck Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Hornwood Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Port Albert Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Victoria Cove Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Change Islands Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Frederickton Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Island Harbour Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Little Bay Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Port Anson Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Roberts Arm Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Little Bay Island Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Lushes Bight Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Pilley's Island Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Beaumont Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Carmanville Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Little Seldom Canada  0.5
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Gander Bay Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Seldom Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Packs Harbour Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 17:15 West St Modeste Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Pinware Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Cooks Harbour Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Raleigh Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Ship Cove Canada  0.4
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Tacks Beach Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Exploits Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Twillingate Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Fogo Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Joe Batt's Arm Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Indian Tickle Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Eddies Cove Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:00 North Boat Harbour Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Burlington Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Harry's Harbour Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Nipper's Harbour Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Sop's Arm Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Browns Cove Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Jackson's Arm Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Purbeck's Cove Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Westport Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Bear Cove Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Triton West Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Leading Tickles Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Leading Tickles South Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 17:30 Lumsden Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 17:30 Wesleyville Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 17:30 Newtown Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 17:30 Cape Freels Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Paradise Cove Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Point Leamington Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Cottrells Cove Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:30 Bellevue Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:30 Chapel Arm Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:30 Dildo Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:30 New Harbour Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:30 Greens Harbour Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:30 Cavendish Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Round Harbour Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Harbour Buffet Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Tilting Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Coney Arm Canada  0.4
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Woodstock Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Seal Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:30 Heart's Delight-Islington Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Conche Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Marys Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Lodge Bay Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Saint Lewis Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Spear Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Loran Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Battle Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Wild Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Tilt Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:15 La Scie Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:30 Heart's Content Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 18:00 Red Bay Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Shoe Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 New Perlican Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Winterton Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Little Heart's Ease Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Baie Verte Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Little Harbour Deep Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Southport Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Hickman's Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Deer Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Fleur de Lys Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Coachman's Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Hants Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Victoria Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 18:00 Big Brook Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Great Harbour Deep Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Rexons Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Georges Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Snug Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Square Island Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 17:15 Fishing Ships Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Saint Jones Within Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:00 Williams Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Williamsport Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Burgoynes Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Ivanhoe Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Croque Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Saint Juliens Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Grey Islands Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Canada Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Roddickton Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Englee Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Brownsdale Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Pacquet Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Old Bonaventure Canada  0.3
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Little Barasway Canada  0.3
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Placentia Canada  0.3
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Argentia Canada  0.3
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Dunville Canada  0.3
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Fox Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Horse Islands Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Trepassey Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Portugal Cove South Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 19:00 Little Burnt Bay Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 19:00 Lewisporte Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 19:00 Campbellton Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 19:00 Loon Bay Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Old Perlican Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Lower Island Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Caplin Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Southern Bay Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Princeton Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Trinity Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:45 Port Rexton Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Saint Shotts Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:30 Main Brook Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Clattice Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Monkstown Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Grates Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Bay de Verde Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 19:45 Newman's Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 19:45 Bonavista Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 19:45 Port Union Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 19:45 Catalina Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 19:45 Elliston Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Bauline Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Pouch Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Torbay Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Flat Rock Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:00 St. John's Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 21:45 Cape Race Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 21:45 Cappahayden Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 22:15 Carrolls Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Merasheen Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Red Island Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Holyrood Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Indian Pond Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Kelligrews Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Foxtrap Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Bell Island Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Wabana Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Topsail Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Portugal Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 21:45 Renews Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Bay Roberts Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Harbour Grace Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Conception Harbour Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Colliers Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Brigus Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Upper Island Cove Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 15:15 Harbour Main Canada  0.3
28 Aug 2021 16:30 Fermeuse Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Cape Broyle Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Ferryland Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Tors Cove Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Goose Cove Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Saint Anthony Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 15:30 Carbonear Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:45 Freshwater Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:45 Salmon Cove Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:45 Perrys Cove Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Plate Cove Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Tickle Cove Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Open Hall Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Keels Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Mobile Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Witless Bay Canada  0.2
29 Aug 2021 00:00 Western Bay Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Bay Bulls Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Great Brehat Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Saint Anthony Bight Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Saint Brendan's Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Badger's Quay Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Greenspond Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Salvage Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Petty Harbour Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Saint Lunaire-Griquet Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:00 Quirpon Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Batteau Harbour Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Spotted Island Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:45 Black Tickle Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:00 Saint Pierre St. Pierre and Miquelon  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:15 Seal Cove Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:15 Little Bay Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:15 Hermitage-Sandy Hill Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:15 Hermitage Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 21:15 Harbour Breton Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 16:15 Henley Harbour Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 22:45 Mosquito Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 22:45 Admirals Beach Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 22:45 Gaskiers Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 22:45 Saint Mary's Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 22:45 Riverhead Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 22:45 Saint Josephs Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 22:45 Saint Vincent's Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:45 Ship Cove Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Angels Cove Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:30 Flat Islands Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:00 Branch Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Saint Bride's Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:00 Point Lance Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Venison Island Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Comfort Bight Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 14:45 Frenchmans Island Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Rock Harbour Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Baine Harbour Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Parkers Cove Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:45 Fortune Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:45 Grand Bank Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 20:45 Grand Beach Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:15 Saint Josephs Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Burin Canada  0.2
28 Aug 2021 23:30 Marystown Canada  0.1
28 Aug 2021 23:45 Saint Lawrence Canada  0.1
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Pools Cove Canada  0.1
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Belleoram Canada  0.1
28 Aug 2021 20:30 Rencontre East Canada  0.1
28 Aug 2021 20:15 Barrasway de Plate Canada  0.1