Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NAMTHEUN-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NAMTHEUN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (11 Oct 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.2 m 330 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 613 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Oct 2021 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 11 Oct 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Oct 2021 18:00 219 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Oct 2021 00:00 1178 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Hayakawa, Japan. This height is estimated for 11 Oct 2021 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Hayakawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Warabi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Sangenchaya Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Arahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Kabasaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Ninokura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Ainokama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Kita-Kama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Fujitsuka Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Tago Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Niida Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Ido Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Fukanuma Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Shinhama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Gamo Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Shiogama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Schiogama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Shobudahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Uenodai Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Watari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Yamashita Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Yokoyama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Shibamachi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kaikomba Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kasano Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Sakamoto Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Hanagama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Komagamine Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Iso Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Nakumura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Tsurishi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Haragama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Umekawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Agat Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Umatac Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Merizo Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Piti Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Asan Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Inarajan Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Hagatna Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Sinajana Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Talofofo Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Mongmong Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Ylig Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Yona Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Tamuning Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Takaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Ono Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Takagi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Hamaichi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Barrigada Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Oceanview Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Dededo Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 South Acres Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Asbeco Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Adacao Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Ipapao Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Upi Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Gayinero Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Asatdas Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Lupog Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Tachiya Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kashima Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Takahira Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Isobe Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Ishinomaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Inai Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Watanoha Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kotake Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Nitoda Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Odomari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Takenohama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Onagawahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Fukkiura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:30 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:15 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Aramachi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Oritate Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Shizugawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Ogatsu Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Aratohama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Aikawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Funagoshi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Terahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Ohama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Ozashi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Kodaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Isatomae Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Kumazawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Minato Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Osu Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Natari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Tomarihama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Ommaehama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Tatsuhama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Izushima Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Kuwahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Terama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Koamikura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Kobuchi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Oharahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Yagawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Samenoura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Kukunari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Tomari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Yoriiso Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Niiyama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Ikenohama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Aji Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Futawatashi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Ayukawahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Oshika Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 04:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Odaka Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Onaba Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Kayahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Namie Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Futaba Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Kiyohashi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Bogoya Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Tomioka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Oragahama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:15 Naraha Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:15 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:15 Ide Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Aratame Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Omori Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Arayashik Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Yotsukura Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:30 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 03:00 Higashi Japan  0.1