Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
23 Oct 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 162 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (26 Oct 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 162 km/h 0.3 m 260 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 173 km/h 0.4 m 857 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico199,206 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 180 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

857 mm

Up to 1.5 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico274,067 
100-250 mmMexico1,207,003 
50-100 mmMexico450,904 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 224 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 470 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 254 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 766 1.5 million
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Penasco, Mexico. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2021 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
26 Oct 2021 08:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Constance Beach United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Holly Beach United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Cameron United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Sabine United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 12:00 Joluta Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Anahuac United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 09:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 11:45 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Smith Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Pelly United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Sixmile United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Point Comfort United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Olivia United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Weedhaven United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Port Alto United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 High Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Webster United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Kilkare United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Lakeside United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 La Porte United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 El Lago United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Kemah United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Shoreacres United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Todville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:30 San Leon United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Flake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Elmgrove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Patton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Caplen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Gilchrist United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Galveston United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 22:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 22:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 11:30 Playa Azul Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Estes United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Rockport United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Copano Village United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Fulton United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Lamar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 20:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 01:30 Calvario Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 01:30 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 11:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 20:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:30 El Barril Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 22:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 22:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 22:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 17:30 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 17:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 10:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Palacios United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Collegeport United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Simpsonville United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Indianola United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Port Morris United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Hitchcock United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 16:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:45 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 10:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 00:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Maudlowe United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Tivoli United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Spanish Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Austwell United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Seadrift United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 00:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:30 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 03:45 Chamela Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 21:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 21:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:45 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 North Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Doyle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Portland United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Gregory United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1