Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TERRY-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TERRY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (10 Nov 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.0 m 670 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 79 km/h 0.0 m 670 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Nov 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Nov 2021 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Nov 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 05 Nov 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 05 Nov 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 05 Nov 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 06 Nov 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 06 Nov 2021 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 06 Nov 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 06 Nov 2021 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 07 Nov 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 07 Nov 2021 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 07 Nov 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 07 Nov 2021 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 08 Nov 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 08 Nov 2021 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 08 Nov 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 08 Nov 2021 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 Nov 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Nov 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 11 Nov 2021 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Nov 2021 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 04 Nov 2021 18:00 55 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Nov 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 05 Nov 2021 06:00 227 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 05 Nov 2021 12:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 05 Nov 2021 18:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 06 Nov 2021 00:00 218 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 06 Nov 2021 06:00 240 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 06 Nov 2021 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 06 Nov 2021 18:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 07 Nov 2021 00:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 07 Nov 2021 06:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 07 Nov 2021 12:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 07 Nov 2021 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 08 Nov 2021 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 08 Nov 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 08 Nov 2021 12:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 08 Nov 2021 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 11 Nov 2021 00:00 15 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 11 Nov 2021 06:00 19 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 11 Nov 2021 12:00 154 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Tierra Colorada, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Nov 2021 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 0.25m) based on the bulletin of 11 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Nov 2021 06:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1