Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TERATAI-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TERATAI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (05 Dec 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 47 km/h 0.2 m 103 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.2 m 542 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Nov 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Dec 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Dec 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Dec 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Dec 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Dec 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Dec 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Dec 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Dec 2021 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 05 Dec 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 05 Dec 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia24,523 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Christmas Island15,452,714
+
Indonesia15,450,405 
Christmas Island2,308 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Nov 2021 12:00 340 60 thousand
- - - - Indonesia
Blue 2 01 Dec 2021 00:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Dec 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Dec 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Dec 2021 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Dec 2021 00:00 56 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 03 Dec 2021 12:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Dec 2021 00:00 164 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 9 04 Dec 2021 12:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 05 Dec 2021 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 05 Dec 2021 12:00 551 20 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Christmas Island




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Chilachap, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2021 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2021 20:00 Chilachap Indonesia  0.2
05 Dec 2021 20:00 Adipala Indonesia  0.2
05 Dec 2021 20:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.2
05 Dec 2021 14:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 19:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 13:45 Guring Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 13:45 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 22:45 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 19:45 Karangberak Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 19:45 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 19:45 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 16:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 16:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 16:45 Menango Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 16:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 14:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 13:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 13:00 Balubuk Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 22:45 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 22:45 Cilancang Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 22:45 Cirebon Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 22:45 Losan Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 13:15 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 13:15 Belowa Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 13:15 Taoabi Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 21:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 21:00 Karangampel Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 19:45 Putih Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 16:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 19:45 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 15:30 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 15:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 12:45 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 12:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 12:15 Kramat Indonesia  0.1