Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TERATAI-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TERATAI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (05 Dec 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.2 m 107 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 83 km/h 0.3 m 329 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Dec 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Dec 2021 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Dec 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Dec 2021 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Dec 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Dec 2021 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 02 Dec 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Dec 2021 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 03 Dec 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Dec 2021 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 03 Dec 2021 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 03 Dec 2021 18:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 04 Dec 2021 00:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 04 Dec 2021 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 04 Dec 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 04 Dec 2021 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 05 Dec 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Dec 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Christmas Island1,035,565
+
Indonesia1,033,256 
Christmas Island2,308 
50-100 mmIndonesia19,751,910 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Dec 2021 06:00 57 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Dec 2021 12:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Dec 2021 18:00 30 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Dec 2021 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Dec 2021 06:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 02 Dec 2021 12:00 63 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Dec 2021 18:00 30 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 03 Dec 2021 00:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 03 Dec 2021 06:00 35 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 03 Dec 2021 12:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 03 Dec 2021 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 04 Dec 2021 00:00 105 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 04 Dec 2021 06:00 84 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 14 04 Dec 2021 12:00 55 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 04 Dec 2021 18:00 146 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 16 05 Dec 2021 00:00 292 1 million
- - - - Indonesia, Christmas Island




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Indramaju, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2021 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Dec 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2021 00:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
05 Dec 2021 00:00 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
05 Dec 2021 00:15 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
05 Dec 2021 00:15 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
05 Dec 2021 00:15 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
05 Dec 2021 01:30 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 01:30 Cilancang Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 01:30 Cirebon Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 01:30 Losan Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 02:00 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 02:00 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 02:00 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 02:00 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 00:00 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 02:00 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:30 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:30 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:30 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:30 Labuhan Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:30 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 00:00 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:15 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:15 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 00:15 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 05:30 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 05:30 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 05:30 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 01:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 01:30 Balubuk Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 01:30 Sigedang Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 01:00 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
05 Dec 2021 05:00 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1