Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TERATAI-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TERATAI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Dec 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 63 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 83 km/h 0.3 m 329 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Dec 2021 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Dec 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Dec 2021 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Dec 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Dec 2021 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 02 Dec 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia946,942 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Christmas Island18,173,855
+
Indonesia18,171,547 
Christmas Island2,308 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Dec 2021 06:00 57 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Dec 2021 12:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Dec 2021 18:00 30 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Dec 2021 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Dec 2021 06:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 02 Dec 2021 12:00 202 950 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Christmas Island




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Indramaju, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 02 Dec 2021 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Dec 2021 14:45 Indramaju Indonesia  0.3
02 Dec 2021 14:45 Karangampel Indonesia  0.3
02 Dec 2021 13:15 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 13:15 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 16:30 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 16:30 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 16:30 Losan Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 16:30 Sidja Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 12:00 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 12:00 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 12:00 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 16:30 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 13:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 13:00 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 13:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 14:00 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 13:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 13:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 14:15 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 14:15 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 16:30 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 16:30 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 14:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 14:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 15:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 12:30 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 12:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 12:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 15:15 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 15:15 Labuhan Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 15:15 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 15:15 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:15 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:30 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:00 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 14:30 Sumur Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:00 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:00 Merak Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 14:45 Guring Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 14:45 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:15 Domas Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 17:00 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 14:45 Kalianda Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 14:45 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 14:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 13:45 Belowa Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 13:45 Taoabi Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 13:45 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 13:00 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1