Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ANA-22
in Mozambique, Malawi, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar, Zimbabwe
26 Jan 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries South Africa
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (26 Jan 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.5 m 69 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 97 km/h 0.8 m 508 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSouth Africa40,130 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Jan 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 2 23 Jan 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 3 24 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Jan 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Jan 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Jan 2022 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Jan 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Jan 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Jan 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Jan 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - South Africa
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTanzania, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Eswatini192,602
+
Tanzania2,857 
Mozambique153,261 
Zimbabwe35,924 
Eswatini558 
50-100 mmDemocratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, Mozambique, Zambia, Malawi, Madagascar, Zimbabwe, Eswatini, South Africa9,118,567
+
Democratic Republic of the Congo78 
Tanzania852,558 
Mozambique2,176,180 
Zambia1,082,844 
Malawi479,453 
Madagascar584,933 
Zimbabwe2,636,424 
Eswatini209,731 
South Africa1,096,362 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Jan 2022 12:00 121 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 2 23 Jan 2022 18:00 181 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 3 24 Jan 2022 00:00 131 50 thousand
- - - - Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 4 24 Jan 2022 06:00 102 40 thousand
- - - - Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi
Blue 5 24 Jan 2022 12:00 137 520 thousand
- - - - Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar
Blue 6 24 Jan 2022 18:00 177 740 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 7 25 Jan 2022 00:00 128 Few people
- - - - Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar
Blue 8 25 Jan 2022 06:00 78 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Zimbabwe
Blue 9 25 Jan 2022 12:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Jan 2022 18:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Jan 2022 00:00 186 190 thousand
- - - - Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, Mozambique, Zambia, Malawi, Madagascar, Zimbabwe, Eswatini, South Africa




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Metambanhe, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 26 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.5
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.5
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.5
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.5
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Beira Mozambique  0.5
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.5
26 Jan 2022 03:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.5
26 Jan 2022 03:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.5
26 Jan 2022 03:00 Manica Mozambique  0.4
26 Jan 2022 03:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.4
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.3
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.3
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.3
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Tama Mozambique  0.3
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.3
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.3
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Jo Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Laisse Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Natalia Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:45 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:45 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:45 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:15 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:45 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Voloina Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Manambia Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Rantabe Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Catine Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 04:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:15 Antalavia Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:30 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:30 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:30 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Antanambe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:15 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Ecota Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Nacala Velha Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Namelala Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Capelelene Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Nhiendgi Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Maaia Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Nacala Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Chepa Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Matiquite Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Minhauine Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 06:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:30 Bambe Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:30 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 05:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:30 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:30 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:45 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:15 Mananara Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Chichocane Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 China Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Mahoa Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:15 Uetela Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 03:15 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 03:15 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 04:30 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1