Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ANA-22
in Mozambique, Malawi, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar, Zimbabwe
27 Jan 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries South Africa
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (28 Jan 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 66 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 97 km/h 0.8 m 508 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSouth Africa319 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Jan 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 2 23 Jan 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 3 24 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Jan 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Jan 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Jan 2022 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Jan 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Jan 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Jan 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Jan 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Jan 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Jan 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Jan 2022 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Jan 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 27 Jan 2022 18:00 68 -
- - - - - South Africa
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Botswana, South Africa, Eswatini260,260
+
Tanzania2,893 
Zambia30,335 
Mozambique2,306 
Botswana16 
Eswatini5,984 
South Africa218,724 
50-100 mmTanzania, Zambia, Malawi, Mozambique, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Angola, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Botswana, Eswatini, South Africa16,080,627
+
Tanzania1,036,919 
Zambia5,310,002 
Malawi4,420,732 
Mozambique4,085,035 
Democratic Republic of the Congo1,014 
Angola30,185 
Zimbabwe483,264 
Namibia29,557 
Botswana139,692 
Eswatini165,538 
South Africa378,684 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Jan 2022 12:00 121 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 2 23 Jan 2022 18:00 181 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 3 24 Jan 2022 00:00 131 50 thousand
- - - - Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 4 24 Jan 2022 06:00 102 40 thousand
- - - - Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi
Blue 5 24 Jan 2022 12:00 137 520 thousand
- - - - Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar
Blue 6 24 Jan 2022 18:00 177 740 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 7 25 Jan 2022 00:00 128 Few people
- - - - Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar
Blue 8 25 Jan 2022 06:00 78 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Zimbabwe
Blue 9 25 Jan 2022 12:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Jan 2022 18:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Jan 2022 00:00 69 -
- - - - - Zimbabwe, Mozambique
Blue 12 26 Jan 2022 06:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Jan 2022 12:00 61 -
- - - - - Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mozambique
Blue 14 26 Jan 2022 18:00 54 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 15 27 Jan 2022 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Jan 2022 06:00 35 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Jan 2022 12:00 35 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 27 Jan 2022 18:00 571 260 thousand
- - - - Tanzania, Zambia, Malawi, Mozambique, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Angola, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Botswana, Eswatini, South Africa




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ampapamena, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 28 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Manica Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 21:30 Maziba Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 21:30 Aiai Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 21:30 Cimbene Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 21:30 Canhamba Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 21:30 Joannisse Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 19:30 Xolobeni South Africa  0.2
27 Jan 2022 19:30 Ebenezer South Africa  0.2
27 Jan 2022 19:30 Port Edward South Africa  0.2
27 Jan 2022 19:30 Bushyvales South Africa  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 19:45 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 19:00 Kilroe Beach South Africa  0.2
27 Jan 2022 18:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.2
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 20:15 Catembe Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 20:15 Maputo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:30 Glanfield South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:30 Mtwalume South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:30 Sezela South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Westville South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Kwa-Mashu South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Durban South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Addington South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 La Lucia South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Selection Beach South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 La Mercy South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Fraser South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:15 Margate South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:30 Naidooville South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:30 Park Rynie South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:30 Umkomaas South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:15 Izotsha South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:15 Port Shepstone South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Amanzimtoti South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Kingsborough South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:00 Isipingo South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:00 Bayhead South Africa  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:45 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 20:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Tinley Manor South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Stanger South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Darnall South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Tugela Mouth South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:30 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:30 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Bonds Drift South Africa  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:15 Dokodweni South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:45 Vila Luisa Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:45 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:30 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:30 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ecota Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Nacala Velha Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Namelala Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Capelelene Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Nhiendgi Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Maaia Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Nacala Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Chepa Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Matiquite Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Minhauine Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:30 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:30 Highfield South Africa  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:30 Mtunzini South Africa  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:00 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:45 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Baly Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Soalala Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 18:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Jo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Onara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:30 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
27 Jan 2022 19:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:30 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 22:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
27 Jan 2022 23:45 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1