Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
29 Jan 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 0 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (29 Jan 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 0 km/h 0.2 m 0 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

227 km/h

Up to 300 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius295,945 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 173 -
- - - - - Mauritius
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMauritius7,998 
50-100 mmMauritius, Reunion82,459
+
Mauritius81,905 
Reunion553 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 474 8 thousand
- - - - Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Chamba, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 29 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Sadani Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Mkadini Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:45 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:45 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Kiombani Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 23:45 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 23:45 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 23:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Magawa Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Msindaji Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Mchungu Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Manica Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Kisiju Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Bumbwini Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Donge Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Kibele Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Nyambati Tanzania  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Salale Tanzania  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Catembe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Maputo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Joannisse Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:00 Vila Luisa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:00 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:00 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Fumba Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Befamata Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Zavo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Lavanono Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:45 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Amado Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Mwera Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Behavoa Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Chole Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Kiechuru Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:30 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:30 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:30 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Kipara Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Dar es Salaam Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Msasani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Magogoni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Mjimwema Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Somanga Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Pombwe Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Jaja Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Uzi Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Kitogani Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Kijini Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Mkunguni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Bwereu Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Mpafu Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:00 Tsinjorano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Morombe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Anadramy Nord Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Mangolovolo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Jo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:30 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Mbwera Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:30 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Barra Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:30 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:30 Catine Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:30 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:30 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Machesse Mozambique  0.1