Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
30 Jan 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 40 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (30 Jan 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 40 km/h 0.2 m 1 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

227 km/h

Up to 1.2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,203,694
+
Mauritius674,612 
Reunion529,081 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 169 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmReunion23 
250-500 mmReunion4,831 
100-250 mmMauritius, Reunion389,129
+
Mauritius366,303 
Reunion22,826 
50-100 mmMauritius, Reunion541,191
+
Mauritius470,104 
Reunion71,087 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 520 390 thousand
- - Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Antananabe, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 30 Jan 2022 06:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Jan 2022 06:45 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 06:45 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 06:45 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 06:45 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 06:45 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 06:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 06:45 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 06:45 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Beira Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:45 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Befamata Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Zavo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Lavanono Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:45 Behavoa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:30 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:15 Manica Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:45 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:45 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:45 Tama Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:15 Amado Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 08:15 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 09:30 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 10:15 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 11:30 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 07:45 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1