Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
01 Feb 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 162 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (01 Feb 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 162 km/h 0.2 m 159 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion1,143,854
+
Madagascar39,178 
Mauritius450,504 
Reunion654,171 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 205 -
- - - - - Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

2013 mm

Up to 430 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmReunion2,625 
750-1000 mmReunion8,430 
500-750 mmReunion16,232 
250-500 mmMauritius, Reunion31,284
+
Mauritius19 
Reunion31,265 
100-250 mmMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion373,848
+
Madagascar648 
Mauritius127,955 
Reunion245,244 
50-100 mmMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion723,273
+
Madagascar174,927 
Mauritius269,859 
Reunion278,487 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 1 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 2 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 4 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 281 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 1714 430 thousand
Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ampombilava, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 01 Feb 2022 17:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:45 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:45 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 14:15 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 14:15 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 14:15 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:45 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 17:15 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:00 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Kipara Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Dar es Salaam Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Msasani Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Magogoni Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Mjimwema Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:45 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:45 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Savana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Baly Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Somanga Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Pombwe Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Jaja Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:15 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:15 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:15 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:30 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:45 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:45 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Salale Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:15 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Buuni Village Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Voloina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Manambia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:30 Port Louis Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:30 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 17:00 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Matapatapa Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Manica Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:15 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 18:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:15 Antanambe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Marere Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:30 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:45 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 16:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 14:30 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Kolekole Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Mvuni Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Kiriwani Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:30 Tanga Tanzania  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 13:45 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 15:45 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1