Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
02 Feb 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 227 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Feb 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 227 km/h 0.2 m 379 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

227 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Madagascar20,165 
Tropical StormMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion8,794,050
+
Madagascar6,874,382 
Mauritius1,093,519 
Reunion826,148 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 01 Feb 2022 18:00 180 -
- - - - - Mauritius
GREEN 25 02 Feb 2022 00:00 238 20 thousand
- - - - Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmReunion20,997 
750-1000 mmReunion11,359 
500-750 mmReunion18,911 
250-500 mmMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion521,315
+
Madagascar132,287 
Mauritius127,210 
Reunion261,817 
100-250 mmMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion3,631,850
+
Madagascar2,176,417 
Mauritius1,056,050 
Reunion399,382 
50-100 mmMadagascar, Mauritius, Reunion2,669,304
+
Madagascar2,511,084 
Mauritius45,802 
Reunion112,417 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 1 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 2 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 4 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 281 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 01 Feb 2022 18:00 242 Few people
- - - - Reunion
Blue 25 02 Feb 2022 00:00 2371 4.2 million
Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Kamendriky, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 02 Feb 2022 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:30 Gulioni Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:30 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:30 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:30 Dikoni Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:30 Chwaka Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:30 Kitogani Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:30 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:30 Pingwe Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:30 Paje Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Antseranana Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Andasoa Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Handeru Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Pangani Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Kolekole Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Vumbi Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Kilale Tanzania  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Port Louis Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Tsivala Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Manambotra Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:00 Farafangana Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 05:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Black River Mauritius  0.2
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Choisy Mauritius  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Kipara Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Dar es Salaam Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Msasani Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Magogoni Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Mjimwema Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:45 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:45 Savana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:45 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Mvuni Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Kiriwani Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Tanga Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Vavony Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:30 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:45 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Souillac Mauritius  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:30 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Baly Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:00 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:00 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:00 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:00 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:00 Cascades Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:30 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Buuni Village Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Mananara Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Antanambe Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Seranambe Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:30 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:30 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 02:45 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 06:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Le Port Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 La Possession Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:45 Kilwa Kivinje Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:45 Mtanga Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:45 Kilwa Kisiwani Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:45 Kilwa Masoko Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Voloina Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Manambia Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:15 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:30 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:30 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 01:30 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:30 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Ankilahila Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Ankomany Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Marosakoa Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Mariarano Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:45 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Tamatave Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:15 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:15 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:15 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:15 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:15 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:15 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Les Avirons Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:45 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:00 Salale Tanzania  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 05:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 03:15 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
02 Feb 2022 04:15 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1