Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (28 Jan 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 90 km/h 0.3 m 150 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 227 km/h 0.8 m 2013 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

227 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 365 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ambanhe, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 28 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.3
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.3
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Manica Mozambique  0.3
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Mipande Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Mucojo Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Foque Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Pangane Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Beula Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 02:00 Marivate Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Behavoa Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Befamata Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Zavo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Lavanono Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 04:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Gueima Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:00 Bambe Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:00 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:00 Macashale Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:00 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:00 Jacob Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:00 Chavanine Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:00 Amado Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Anompaka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Bevoay Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:15 Maromandia Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:30 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:15 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:00 Inhampsi Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Tolanaro Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Marokoky Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:00 Sainte-Luce Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:45 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Ampalaza Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 00:45 Bevoalavo Est Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:00 Gafaria Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:00 Nangalete Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:00 Mahupe Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Induna Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:30 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Ingoane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Chichocane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 China Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Mahoa Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 03:15 Uetela Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:45 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Esama Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 04:45 Manantenina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Marere Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 05:30 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.1