Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries China, Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 119 km/h n.a. 140 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 2.1 m 735 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormChina, Japan6,794
+
China2,330 
Japan4,463 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 162 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 133 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 140 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Russia, China
GREEN 5 14 Sep 2022 00:00 119 -
- - - - - Russia, China, Japan
GREEN 6 14 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 7 15 Sep 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 8 15 Sep 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - China, North Korea
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - South Korea, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

735 mm

Up to 110 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan, Philippines110,761
+
Japan110,527 
Philippines233 
50-100 mmChina, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia38,114,494
+
China1,962,599 
North Korea542,667 
Japan11,210,370 
Taiwan67,589 
Philippines24,326,916 
Malaysia4,349 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 243 3 thousand
- - - - China, Taiwan, Japan
Blue 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 193 140 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Japan
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 293 Few people
- - - - Taiwan
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 200 800 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 5 14 Sep 2022 00:00 224 6.5 million
- - - - China
Blue 6 14 Sep 2022 12:00 106 -
- - - - - China
Blue 7 15 Sep 2022 00:00 127 Few people
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 8 15 Sep 2022 12:00 109 -
- - - - - China, North Korea, Philippines
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 00:00 120 430 thousand
- - - - China, North Korea
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 12:00 658 25.5 million
- - Japan, Russia, China, South Korea, Philippines, Guam, Micronesia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
    

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