Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FREDDY-23
in Mozambique, Madagascar
14 Feb 2023 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FREDDY-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 0 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Feb 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 0 km/h 0.2 m 135 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 205 km/h 0.7 m 1068 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

205 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 Feb 2023 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2023 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2023 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2023 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Feb 2023 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Feb 2023 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Feb 2023 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Feb 2023 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Feb 2023 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Feb 2023 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Feb 2023 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 08 Feb 2023 18:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Feb 2023 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Feb 2023 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Feb 2023 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 09 Feb 2023 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 10 Feb 2023 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Feb 2023 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 10 Feb 2023 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 10 Feb 2023 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Feb 2023 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 11 Feb 2023 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 11 Feb 2023 12:00 169 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 23 11 Feb 2023 18:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 12 Feb 2023 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 12 Feb 2023 06:00 - 1.1 million
Indonesia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, East Timor, Zambia, Malawi, Madagascar, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Australia, Botswana
GREEN 26 12 Feb 2023 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 12 Feb 2023 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 13 Feb 2023 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 13 Feb 2023 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 13 Feb 2023 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 13 Feb 2023 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 14 Feb 2023 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 14 Feb 2023 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Feb 2023 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Malawi, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Botswana, South Africa494,945
+
Indonesia190,796 
Malawi17,639 
Mozambique230,912 
Zimbabwe54,523 
Botswana995 
South Africa77 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Tanzania, East Timor, Zambia, Malawi, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Madagascar, South Africa51,991,328
+
Indonesia33,269,652 
Tanzania456,050 
East Timor2,222 
Zambia792,463 
Malawi3,933,368 
Mozambique2,368,251 
Zimbabwe3,684,861 
Botswana188,134 
Madagascar134,243 
South Africa7,162,079 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2023 06:00 195 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 2 06 Feb 2023 12:00 154 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 3 06 Feb 2023 18:00 190 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 4 07 Feb 2023 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Feb 2023 06:00 232 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 07 Feb 2023 12:00 245 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Madagascar
Blue 7 07 Feb 2023 18:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Feb 2023 00:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Feb 2023 06:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Feb 2023 12:00 228 -
- - - - - Tanzania, Madagascar
Blue 11 08 Feb 2023 18:00 249 Few people
- - - - South Africa, Eswatini
Blue 12 09 Feb 2023 00:00 130 Few people
- - - - South Africa
Blue 13 09 Feb 2023 06:00 123 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 14 09 Feb 2023 12:00 209 -
- - - - - Botswana
Blue 15 09 Feb 2023 18:00 239 -
- - - - - Madagascar, South Africa
Blue 16 10 Feb 2023 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Feb 2023 06:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 10 Feb 2023 12:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 10 Feb 2023 18:00 215 -
- - - - - Zimbabwe
Blue 20 11 Feb 2023 00:00 155 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 21 11 Feb 2023 06:00 151 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Eswatini, South Africa
Blue 22 11 Feb 2023 12:00 213 -
- - - - - Madagascar, Eswatini, South Africa
Blue 23 11 Feb 2023 18:00 266 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 24 12 Feb 2023 00:00 216 -
- - - - - Malawi
Blue 25 12 Feb 2023 06:00 204 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 26 12 Feb 2023 12:00 181 -
- - - - - Democratic Republic of the Congo
Blue 27 12 Feb 2023 18:00 256 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Zimbabwe
Blue 28 13 Feb 2023 00:00 128 Few people
- - - - Indonesia
Blue 29 13 Feb 2023 06:00 188 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 13 Feb 2023 12:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 13 Feb 2023 18:00 156 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Zimbabwe
Blue 32 14 Feb 2023 00:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 14 Feb 2023 06:00 267 490 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Tanzania, East Timor, Zambia, Malawi, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Madagascar, South Africa




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 14 Feb 2023 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Feb 2023 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Feb 2023 06:00 Derby Australia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 08:00 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 10:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Catembe Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Joannisse Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Maziba Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Manica Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Kepoh Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Tukak Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Penoetoek Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:15 Koba Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:15 Perlang Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 11:15 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 08:45 Thangoo Australia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:15 Batoebeloebang Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:15 Namang Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Maputo Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Mazumba Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Jo Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:15 Pangkalpinang Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:00 Lubuk-besar Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 10:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 08:45 Broome Australia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Menango Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Tarahan Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Bakong Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Bela Vista Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Aiai Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Machavene Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Cimbene Mozambique  0.2
14 Feb 2023 09:15 Tandjunglabu Indonesia  0.2
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Setiroek Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:15 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:15 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:45 Topoali Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Masara Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Rumba Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:15 Soengaiamang Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Kolono Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:00 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:00 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Voloina Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Manambia Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:15 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:00 Batubetumpang Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Chichocane Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 China Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Mahoa Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Fabiao Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Uetela Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:45 Canhamba Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:00 Port Edward South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:00 Bushyvales South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:00 Margate South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Tama Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:15 Westville South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:15 Bayhead South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:15 Kwa-Mashu South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:15 Durban South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:15 Addington South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:15 La Lucia South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:15 Selection Beach South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:45 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:45 La Mercy South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:45 Fraser South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:30 Mtwalume South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:30 Sezela South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:30 Park Rynie South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:00 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Highfield South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Mtunzini South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:45 Suakgual Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:45 Nasik Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:45 Petaling Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Lait Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:30 Sabui Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Condon Australia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Pardoo Australia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:45 Point Samson Australia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:45 Cossack Australia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:30 Izotsha South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:30 Port Shepstone South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:30 Glanfield South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Sagu Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Lewokeling Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Witihama Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Boleng Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Nereng Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Lewoleba Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Riangeba Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Waipoekang Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Lewotelo Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Pasar Hadakewa Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Labala Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Tokodjain Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Hadakewa Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Vila Luisa Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:45 Tinley Manor South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:30 Belana Timor-Leste  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:15 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:00 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:15 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:15 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Keoen Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Daeoerendale Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Akle Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Eahun Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Pepela Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Roti Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Usulain Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Oisina Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Tablolong Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Tuakdale Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Sekalac Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:45 Tandjungpandan Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:00 Waterbank Australia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:45 Stanger South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:45 Darnall South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:00 Tandjungbinga Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:15 Tugela Mouth South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:15 Dokodweni South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:00 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:15 Menoe Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:15 Naoeleoe Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:15 Weoe Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:15 Besikama Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Oetefoe-besar Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Besdale Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Oetefoe-ketjil Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Naioni Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Sidjuk Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:00 Suai Timor-Leste  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:30 Namfaloes Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:30 Ulua Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:30 Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:30 Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:30 Oeseda Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:30 Namodale Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:30 Husdale Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:30 Bando Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:30 Seda Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 08:30 Bonds Drift South Africa  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Mamaloek Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 07:15 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Adipala Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:30 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:45 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 11:45 Membalong Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Oetune Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Toineke Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:45 Induna Mozambique  0.1
14 Feb 2023 06:45 Buraen Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 12:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:45 Sungaipadang Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 09:30 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.1
14 Feb 2023 10:15 Catine Mozambique  0.1