Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for NORMA-23 in Mexico from 17 Oct 2023 21:00 UTC to 23 Oct 2023 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for NORMA-23

in Mexico

17 Oct 2023 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORMA-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (17 Oct 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	65 km/h	0.3 m	201 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	90 km/h	0.5 m	848 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2023 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	17 Oct 2023 00:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2023 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico, Guatemala	162,007	+
	Mexico	57,589
	Guatemala	104,417

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	17 Oct 2023 00:00	498	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico, Guatemala

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Oct 2023 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2023 00:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Oct 2023 07:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	17 Oct 2023 03:45	Ciudad del Carmen	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 03:45	Boca Nueva	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 04:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 04:30	Paso Real	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 06:30	Victoria	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 06:30	Balchacah	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 06:45	Arrozal	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 09:30	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 02:30	Monte de Oro	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 02:30	San Pedro	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 10:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 02:30	Hidalgo	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 02:30	Francisco I. Madero	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2023 09:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 02:30	Chiltepec	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 04:30	Anton Lizardo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 04:30	Salinas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 04:30	Buen Pais	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 04:30	Alvarado	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 08:15	La Verde	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 08:15	El Tulate	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 08:15	Tahuesco	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 05:30	Las Guayabas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 05:45	Rancho Magueyes	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 05:45	El Mezquite	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 02:30	Sanchez Magallanes	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 09:00	San Felipe	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 05:15	Las Barrillas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 05:15	Coatzacoalcos	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 09:30	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 07:30	Boqueron	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 07:30	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:00	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:00	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:00	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 07:30	Barra de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 07:30	Puerto de San Benito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 05:00	Tenixtepec	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 05:00	Tecolutla	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 05:00	La Guadalupe	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Summerland	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Serena Park	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Franciscan Village	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Carpinteria	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Rincon	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Shepards	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Punta	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Faria	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Dulah	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 08:30	La Choya	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 08:30	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Mission	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Montecito	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 06:00	Buenavista	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 08:15	Nueva Venecia	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:30	Empalme	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 07:30	La Concepion	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 03:00	Tamiahua	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 03:00	Laja	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Ventura	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Hope Ranch	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:30	San Pedro	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:30	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:30	Signal Hill	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:30	Belmont Shore	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:30	Surfside	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:30	Seal Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:30	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:30	Huntington Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 02:45	Pueblo Viejo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 02:45	Primero de Mayo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 02:45	Tampico Alta	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 09:00	Veracruz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 04:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 04:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 07:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 07:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 07:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 09:00	San Jose de los Leones	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 02:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 02:30	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 02:15	Tonala	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 02:00	Tupilco	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Newport Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Cliff Haven	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Bay Shores	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Balboa	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 11:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Castellammare	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Pacific Palisades	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Santa Monica	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Sawtelle	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Marina del Rey	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Playa del Rey	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Alsace	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	El Segundo	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Manhattan Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Hermosa Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2023 01:15	Redondo Beach	United States	0.1

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.