Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORMA-23
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORMA-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (22 Oct 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 0.4 m 240 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 191 km/h 0.5 m 812 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

191 km/h

Up to 290 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2023 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico293,426 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Oct 2023 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Oct 2023 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Oct 2023 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Oct 2023 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Oct 2023 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Oct 2023 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Oct 2023 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Oct 2023 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Oct 2023 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Oct 2023 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Oct 2023 06:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 20 Oct 2023 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 20 Oct 2023 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 21 Oct 2023 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 21 Oct 2023 06:00 155 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 21 Oct 2023 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 17 21 Oct 2023 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 18 22 Oct 2023 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 19 22 Oct 2023 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 20 22 Oct 2023 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2023 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico14,325 
100-250 mmMexico1,081,177 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala2,372,344
+
United States68,583 
Mexico1,053,644 
Guatemala1,250,116 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Oct 2023 18:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Oct 2023 00:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Oct 2023 06:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Oct 2023 12:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Oct 2023 18:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Oct 2023 00:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Oct 2023 06:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Oct 2023 12:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Oct 2023 18:00 285 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Oct 2023 00:00 216 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Oct 2023 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Oct 2023 12:00 200 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 20 Oct 2023 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 21 Oct 2023 00:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 21 Oct 2023 06:00 161 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 21 Oct 2023 12:00 192 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 17 21 Oct 2023 18:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 18 22 Oct 2023 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 19 22 Oct 2023 06:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 22 Oct 2023 12:00 600 1.1 million
- - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in El Castillo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 22 Oct 2023 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2023 12:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Oct 2023 12:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.4
22 Oct 2023 12:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.4
22 Oct 2023 15:45 La Paz Mexico  0.4
22 Oct 2023 15:45 Rosario Mexico  0.4
22 Oct 2023 15:45 Datilito Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 17:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 17:45 La Boca Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 16:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
22 Oct 2023 17:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 12:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 12:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 12:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 12:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 13:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 16:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 16:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Stinson Beach United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Muir Beach United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Kentfield United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Mill Valley United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Larkspur United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Almonte United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Green Brae United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Marin City United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Strawberry United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Corte Madera United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Sunset District United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Sausalito United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Edgemar United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 San Quentin United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Broadmoor United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Paradise Cay United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Stonestown United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Richmond District United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Daly City United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Westborough United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Tiburon United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Belvedere United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Colma United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Baden United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Little Osaka United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Fort McDowell United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 San Francisco United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Bayshore United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 South San Francisco United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 North Beach United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Brisbane United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Bayview District United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 North Richmond United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Richmond United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:00 San Pablo United States  0.2
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 16:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Stege United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 East Richmond Heights United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 El Cerrito United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Berkeley United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Albany United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 West Oakland United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Emeryville United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Alameda United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Kensington United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Woodville United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Bolinas United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Terra Linda United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Marinwood United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Gallinas United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Dillon Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Brazil Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Hamlet United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Nicks Cove United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Lairds Landing United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Carmel United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Monterey United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Workfield United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Seaside United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Ord United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Marina United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Moss Landing United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Neponset United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Nashua United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Castroville United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:30 Tripui Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Moss Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Montara United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Princeton United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 El Granada United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Pacifica United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Jenner United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Bridgehaven United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Carnet United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Salmon Creek United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Bodega Bay United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Sea Ranch United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Valley Crossing United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Mission United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Montecito United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Summerland United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Serena Park United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Carpinteria United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Rincon United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:30 Miramar United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:30 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:30 Half Moon Bay United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:15 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Stewarts Point United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Shepards United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Punta United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Faria United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Dulah United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Cedros Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:15 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:15 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:15 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:15 La Majada Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 San Bruno United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 Tanforan United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 Millbrae United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 Burlingame United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 Hillsborough United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:45 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Arguello United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Honda United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Surf United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Sudden United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Jalama United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:15 Concepcion United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:30 Martins Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:30 Tunitas United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:30 San Gregorio United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:30 Pescadero United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:30 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:30 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 San Mateo United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Hillsdale United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 Walsh Landing United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 Fort Ross United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 Seaview United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 Toners Place United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 13:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:00 Plantation United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 18:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 12:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 Liliba Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 17:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:45 Surfside United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 14:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 15:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Gordola United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Santa Cruz United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Twin Lakes United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Live Oak United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Opal Cliffs United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Capitola United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Soquel United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Aptos United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Rio del Mar United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Rob Roy Junction United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 La Selva Beach United States  0.1
22 Oct 2023 16:30 Ellicott United States  0.1