Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for JOYCE-24 Off-shore from 27 Sep 2024 15:00 UTC to 01 Oct 2024 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOYCE-24

Off-shore

29 Sep 2024 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOYCE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (29 Sep 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	65 km/h	0.6 m	103 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	151 km/h	0.7 m	597 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

151 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2024 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	27 Sep 2024 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Sep 2024 18:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Sep 2024 00:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Sep 2024 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	28 Sep 2024 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	28 Sep 2024 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	29 Sep 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	29 Sep 2024 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	29 Sep 2024 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2024 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	27 Sep 2024 12:00	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Sep 2024 18:00	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Sep 2024 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Sep 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	28 Sep 2024 12:00	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	28 Sep 2024 18:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	29 Sep 2024 00:00	123	-		-	-	-	-	-	Venezuela
8	29 Sep 2024 06:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	29 Sep 2024 12:00	571	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in San Pedro de Coche, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 29 Sep 2024 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2024 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	San Pedro de Coche	Venezuela	0.6
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	La Uva	Venezuela	0.6
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Caimancito	Venezuela	0.6
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Guamache	Venezuela	0.6
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Ariota	Venezuela	0.6
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Unare	Venezuela	0.5
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Puerto Piritu	Venezuela	0.5
	29 Sep 2024 14:00	El Guamache	Venezuela	0.5
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	El Yaque	Venezuela	0.5
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	San Antonio	Venezuela	0.5
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Porlamar	Venezuela	0.5
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Pampatar	Venezuela	0.5
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Punta de Piedras	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Piedras Negras	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	El Tunal	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	San Francisco	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	El Horcon	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Chacachacare	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	La Guardia	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Soledad	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	El Rincon	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Punta Arenas	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Manicuare	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	El Jose	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	El Morro de Barcelona	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Barcelona	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Puerto la Cruz	Venezuela	0.4
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	El Chaure	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Arapo	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Santa Fe	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	No Alonso	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Cabo Blanco	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	La Esmeralda	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Pta de Araya	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Tajerias	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Robledal	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Yaguaracual	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Barbacoas	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Cumana	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	El Penon	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 16:15	Irapa	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 16:15	Agua Fria	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 16:15	San Juan de las Galdonas	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 16:15	Yaguaraparo	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 16:15	San Juan	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 16:15	Unare	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Altagracia	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Manzanillo	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 15:45	Soro	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Paraguchi	Venezuela	0.3
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Aurora	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Maswa	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Maria Johanna	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Caledonia	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Parika	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Leguan I	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	De Kinderen	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Den Amstel	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Queenstown	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Taymoutn Manor Place	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Anna Regina	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Suddie	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Capoey	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Hampton Court	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Matelot	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Grande Riviere	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Salibea	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Rampanalgas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Redhead	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Georgetown	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Courida Park	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Buxton	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Guaca	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Bounty Hall	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:45	Capure	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:45	Rio Caribe	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Belfield	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Enmore	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Helena	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:45	Puerto Escondido	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Guiria	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Puerto de Hierro	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Belladrum	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Weldaad	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Number Forty	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Onverwagt	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Fort Wellington	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Waterloo	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Blairmont	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Soburojo	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Burnside	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Puerto Santo	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:45	Marlborough	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:00	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Brighton	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Goldspie	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Number Forty-six	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Leeds	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Crabwood Creek	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Number Sixty-one	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Number 80	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:30	Corriverton	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	De Kinderen	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Perth	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Mahaicony	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:00	Tarlogie Farm	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Plaisance	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	California	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	San Fernando	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Carapichaima	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Hermitage	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:30	Langamankondre	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:30	Galibi	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:30	Les Hattes	French Guiana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:30	Aouara	French Guiana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Carupano	Venezuela	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:00	Parry Lands	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Hackney	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Coromandel Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Irois	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Chatham	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Point Fortin	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Los Bajos	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	New Amsterdam	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Fyrish	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Rosehall	Guyana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Cacandee Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 14:30	Jenipapo	Brazil	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 18:00	Camp de Coswine	French Guiana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:45	Fullarton	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:45	San Francique	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Totness	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Organabo	French Guiana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Fleche	French Guiana	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Coolie Block	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Dibe	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Port-of-Spain	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	La Pastora	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Las Cuevas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Blanchisseuse	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Saint-Claude	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Baie-Mahault	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Capesterre	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Pointe-a-Pitre	Guadeloupe	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 18:00	Pomona	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 18:00	Clevia	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 18:00	Nieuw Amsterdam	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:00	Hamilton	Suriname	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	La Retraite	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 16:15	Lower Manzanilla	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 16:15	Lower Fishing Pond	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Saint Margaret	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Saint Joseph	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:30	Macuro	Venezuela	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:45	La Linea	Venezuela	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 17:15	Geertruidenberg	Suriname	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Palencho	Venezuela	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Benner	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Contant	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Adrian	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Fish Bay	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Belle Vue	British Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Annaberg	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Bordeaux	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Calabash Boom	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Hermitage	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	East End	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Road Town	British Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Pacham Town	British Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	West End Village	Anguilla	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Blowing Point	Anguilla	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	St Louis	Guadeloupe	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	The Valley	Anguilla	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Grand Case	Guadeloupe	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Anse Marcel	Guadeloupe	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	French Cul de Sac	Guadeloupe	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Green Cay	Guadeloupe	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 16:15	Mamaribo	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Argyle	Grenada	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	L'Appelle	Grenada	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Ashton	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Engagement Umbrella	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 12:15	Canouan	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Guayaguayare	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 18:00	San Jose de Amacuro	Venezuela	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 18:00	Faro de Barima	Venezuela	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:45	Coppenamepunt	Suriname	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Five Islands	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Jolly Harbour	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Bolans	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Urlings	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Jennings	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Ebenezer	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Runaway Bay	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Creekside	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Dickenson Bay	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Golden Grove	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Saint John's	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	John Hughes	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Boons Bay	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Cedar Grove	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Saint Johnston Village	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Potters Village	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Osbourn	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Barnes Hill	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Pares	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Betty's Hope	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Newfield	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Willikies	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:45	Half Moon Bay	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 15:15	Sinnamary	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Kourou	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Bellevue	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Iracoubo	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Charlotte Amalie	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Enighed	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Bellevue	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Mandal	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Bolongo	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Donoe	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:30	Codrington	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Adelphi	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Neltjeberg	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Cabritaberg	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 13:15	Barrett	Virgin Islands	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Newton Ground	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Fig Tree	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Saint Paul's	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Sandy Point	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Half Way Tree	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Dieppe Bay Town	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Middle Island	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Saddlers	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Challengers	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Trinity	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Tabernacle	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Phillips	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Boyd's	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Mansion	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Molineux	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Lodge	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Ottley's	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Basseterre	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Canyon	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 14:15	Keys	St. Kitts and Nevis	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 18:00	Trou Poisson	French Guiana	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 18:00	Roche Brigandin	French Guiana	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.