Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOURTEEN-E-24
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 144 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (10 Nov 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 144 km/h 0.4 m 531 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 144 km/h 0.4 m 539 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2024 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Nov 2024 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Nov 2024 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Nov 2024 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Nov 2024 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Nov 2024 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Nov 2024 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Nov 2024 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

539 mm

Up to 1.1 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2024 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmHonduras, Nicaragua1,073,629
+
Honduras363,153 
Nicaragua710,476 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua2,586,066
+
Mexico427,825 
Guatemala1,447,244 
Other countries04 
El Salvador162,847 
Honduras316,970 
Nicaragua231,173 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Nov 2024 12:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Nov 2024 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Nov 2024 00:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Nov 2024 06:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Nov 2024 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Nov 2024 18:00 64 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua
Blue 7 08 Nov 2024 00:00 531 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in El Capulin, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 10 Nov 2024 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2024 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mHonduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua40,779
+
Honduras28,856 
El Salvador10,344 
Other countries05 
Nicaragua1,572 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2024 00:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Nov 2024 23:15 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.4
10 Nov 2024 23:15 Condega Honduras  0.4
10 Nov 2024 23:15 Cedeno Honduras  0.4
10 Nov 2024 23:15 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.4
10 Nov 2024 23:15 Albania Honduras  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 El Mogotillo El Salvador  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 El Cacao El Salvador  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 La Union El Salvador  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 Murucagua Honduras  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 El Capulin Honduras  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 El Zapote Honduras  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 Gualora Honduras  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 Las Piletas Honduras  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 El Moray Honduras  0.4
10 Nov 2024 22:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.4
09 Nov 2024 22:45 Barrancones Honduras  0.3
09 Nov 2024 22:45 Buena Vista Honduras  0.3
09 Nov 2024 22:30 El Tambor Honduras  0.3
09 Nov 2024 22:30 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.3
09 Nov 2024 22:30 Campamento Honduras  0.3
09 Nov 2024 22:30 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.3
09 Nov 2024 22:15 Guerrero El Salvador  0.3
10 Nov 2024 10:15 Agua El Salvador  0.3
10 Nov 2024 10:15 Canoguero El Salvador  0.3
10 Nov 2024 10:15 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.3
10 Nov 2024 10:15 El Puente Nicaragua  0.3
10 Nov 2024 10:15 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.3
10 Nov 2024 11:00 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.3
10 Nov 2024 11:00 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.3
10 Nov 2024 11:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.3
10 Nov 2024 10:00 Venecia Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 10:00 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 10:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 10:00 Petacaltepe Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 10:30 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 10:15 La Periquera El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 10:15 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 10:15 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 10:15 Aposentillo Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 21:45 La Herradura El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 21:45 El Zapote El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Fatima Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:00 El Fortin Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 El Nispero El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 El Sunzal El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 La Libertad El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 San Diego El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:15 Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:15 El Realejo Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:15 Puerto el Barquito Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Salinas Grandes Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Candelaria Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Puerto Somoza Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 San Jose Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 El Amparo Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 El Transito Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:00 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 El Tinco Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Salamina Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Poneloya Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 San Juan Nicaragua  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:15 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:15 Sipacate Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:15 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Las Champas Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Acachapa El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Metalio El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Acajutla El Salvador  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:15 Tecojate Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 San Pedro Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:15 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Papaturro Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 La Candelaria Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 El Pumpo Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 La Avellana Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 Astillero Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 La Barrita Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:15 San Jose Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Iztapa Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Ocos Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:30 El Chico Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:30 Acapan Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:30 Champerico Guatemala  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Liliba Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 16:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 16:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 04:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 16:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 17:00 La Playa Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 04:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 04:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 04:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
06 Nov 2024 18:45 El Cuyo Mexico  0.2
06 Nov 2024 18:45 Chipepte Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
06 Nov 2024 20:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
06 Nov 2024 20:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 04:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 04:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 17:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 16:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 04:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 04:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 03:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Mirador Mexico  0.2
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
11 Nov 2024 00:00 El Hato Honduras  0.1
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
06 Nov 2024 19:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 22:45 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Coyote Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 22:30 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
06 Nov 2024 16:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
06 Nov 2024 16:15 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 15:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 15:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 16:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 22:45 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 23:00 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 03:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 23:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 20:30 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 20:30 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 15:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Copala Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 20:30 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 20:30 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 23:00 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 04:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
07 Nov 2024 23:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
07 Nov 2024 23:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 22:30 Valton Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 22:30 Guerrero Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 22:30 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 20:45 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 20:45 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 22:45 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 22:45 Neyac Mexico  0.1
09 Nov 2024 20:15 Progreso Mexico  0.1
10 Nov 2024 16:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1